Leonesa vs Moron prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 55%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 162 Win LEO 52% Actual 156 · LEO won
Leonesa vs Moron
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Leonesa 0, Moron 2.
- Average total 170.5 points per meeting
- Over 158.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MOR by 10 Apr 5, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 5, 2026 Segunda FEB Leonesa 83–93 Moron 176 pts
- Dec 13, 2025 Segunda FEB Moron 88–77 Leonesa 165 pts
Last five games
- Apr 18: Leonesa 88, Clavijo 91. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 11: Gijon 73, Leonesa 85. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 5: Leonesa 83, Moron 93. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 29: Logrono 56, Leonesa 68. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 22: Leonesa 95, Iraurgi SB 83. Won. No odds on record.
- May 16: Sant Antoni 75, Moron 68. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 9: Moron 67, Sant Antoni 98. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 2: Gandia 63, Moron 56. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Moron 87, Gandia 72. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Caja 87 84, Moron 75. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Moron coming into this game.
- 7th vs 6th in the Segunda FEB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LEO moneyline | 2.00 | moved down 1.85 |
| MOR moneyline | 1.71 | moved up 1.82 |
| Total points | 158.5 | 158.5 |
| LEO spread | +1.5 | moved down +0.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Segunda FEB standings
Regular Season · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 421 | 359 | +62 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 424 | 378 | +46 | |
| 3 | CBC Valladolid | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 428 | 378 | +50 |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 426 | 410 | +16 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 408 | 396 | +12 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 397 | 393 | +4 | |
| 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 345 | 329 | +16 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 391 | 405 | −14 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 398 | 414 | −16 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 359 | 403 | −44 | |
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 376 | 388 | −12 | |
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 383 | 396 | −13 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 361 | 401 | −40 | |
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 295 | 362 | −67 |
- Winners Playoffs
- Promotion - Playoffs
- Relegation - Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Leonesa host Moron in the Segunda FEB on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.