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Leonesa vs Moron prediction

Segunda FEB Sunday, October 4, 2026Sun, Oct 4 Start12:30ET Round 1
LeonesaHome · 3-1 · 7th · Moneyline odds down 1.85
831st quarter 142nd quarter 283rd quarter 174th quarter 24
MoronAway · 3-2 · 6th · Moneyline odds up 1.82
731st quarter 162nd quarter 183rd quarter 194th quarter 20
By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Leonesa 14 28 17 24
Moron 16 18 19 20
FT Spain Round 1
Best tip of the game
Point spread Won
LEO +1.5 1.72 56% confidence
Leonesa +1.5 on the spread edge +6.5%
Best tip of the game Point spread · Won LEO +1.5 1.72 Leonesa +1.5 on the spread Confidence56% model 56.1% · market 49.6% edge +6.5%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 55%
Picks for this game
Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result
Moneyline 1 odds down 1.85 52.3% 46.6% +5.7% 53% Won
Total points O158.5 odds up 1.87 56.9% 49.3% +7.6% 57% Lost
Point spread LEO +1.5 1.72 56.1% 49.6% +6.5% 56% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.

Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Leonesa8381
Moron7381
Total 162 actual 156
Winning margin — actual LEO by 10
Chance to win LEO 52% LEO won
Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Leonesa8381
Moron7381

Total 162 Win LEO 52% Actual 156 · LEO won

Leonesa host Moron in the Segunda FEB on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.