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Leonesa vs Badajoz prediction

Segunda FEB Sunday, November 1, 2026Sun, Nov 1 Start12:30ET Round 5
LeonesaHome · 3-1 · 7th · Moneyline odds down 1.13
831st quarter 162nd quarter 183rd quarter 234th quarter 26
BadajozAway · 1-3 · 14th · Moneyline odds up 4.75
721st quarter 242nd quarter 183rd quarter 174th quarter 13
By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Leonesa 16 18 23 26
Badajoz 24 18 17 13
FT Spain Round 5
Best tip of the game
Total points Lost
O163.5 1.82 59% confidence
Over 163.5 points edge +8.9%
Best tip of the game Total points · Lost O163.5 1.82 Over 163.5 points Confidence59% model 58.9% · market 50.0% edge +8.9%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%
Picks for this game
Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result
Moneyline 1 odds down 1.13 78.8% 76.9% +1.9% 79% Won
Total points O163.5 1.82 58.9% 50.0% +8.9% 59% Lost
Point spread LEO -10.5 1.82 52.4% 50.0% +2.4% 53% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.

Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Leonesa8390
Badajoz7278
Total 168 actual 155
Winning margin LEO by 12 actual LEO by 11
Chance to win LEO 79% LEO won
Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Leonesa8390
Badajoz7278

Total 168 Margin LEO by 12 Win LEO 79% Actual 155 · LEO won

Leonesa host Badajoz in the Segunda FEB on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.