Leonesa vs Badajoz prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 168 Margin LEO by 12 Win LEO 79% Actual 155 · LEO won
Leonesa vs Badajoz
Last five games
- Oct 24: CB Getafe 83, Leonesa 86. After overtime. Won. Odds: CB Getafe 2.30, Leonesa 1.55.
- Oct 18: Leonesa 92, Melilla 96. Lost. Odds: Leonesa 4.45, Melilla 1.16.
- Oct 11: Spanish Basketball Academy 77, Leonesa 84. After overtime. Won. Odds: Spanish Basketball Academy 1.40, Leonesa 2.65.
- Oct 4: Leonesa 83, Moron 73. Won. Odds: Leonesa 1.85, Moron 1.82.
- Apr 18: Leonesa 88, Clavijo 91. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 24: Badajoz 78, Ponferrada 84. Lost. Odds: Badajoz 3.60, Ponferrada 1.22.
- Oct 17: CBC Valladolid 106, Badajoz 59. Lost. Odds: CBC Valladolid 1.10, Badajoz 5.85.
- Oct 10: Badajoz 89, Jaen Paraiso 85. Won. Odds: Badajoz 2.00, Jaen Paraiso 1.70.
- Oct 3: Algeciras 87, Badajoz 69. Lost. Odds: Algeciras 1.55, Badajoz 2.25.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Leonesa dropped from 1.20 to 1.13 since they were first published.
- 7th vs 14th in the Segunda FEB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LEO moneyline | 1.20 | moved down 1.13 |
| BAD moneyline | 4.00 | moved up 4.75 |
| Total points | 163.5 | moved up 164.5 |
| LEO spread | −10.5 | moved down −12.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Segunda FEB standings
Regular Season · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 421 | 359 | +62 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 424 | 378 | +46 | |
| 3 | CBC Valladolid | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 428 | 378 | +50 |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 426 | 410 | +16 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 408 | 396 | +12 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 397 | 393 | +4 | |
| 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 345 | 329 | +16 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 391 | 405 | −14 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 398 | 414 | −16 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 359 | 403 | −44 | |
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 376 | 388 | −12 | |
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 383 | 396 | −13 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 361 | 401 | −40 | |
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 295 | 362 | −67 |
- Winners Playoffs
- Promotion - Playoffs
- Relegation - Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Leonesa host Badajoz in the Segunda FEB on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.