Leiden vs Okapi Aalst prediction
Leiden
25
17
24
26
Okapi Aalst
26
15
16
20
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 80%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Leiden9284Okapi Aalst7788Leiden9284Okapi Aalst7788Total 172 Margin OKA by 4 Win OKA 62% Actual 169 · LEI won
Leiden
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Okapi Aalst
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Leiden vs Okapi Aalst
Leiden
Okapi Aalst
Last 28 and 29 games with full stats · all competitions
Leiden at home, last 21 games · Okapi Aalst away, last 19
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Leiden 0, Okapi Aalst 2.
- Average total 186.5 points per meeting
- Over 169.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting OKA by 12 Apr 25, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 25, 2026 BNXT League Leiden 85–97 Okapi Aalst 182 pts
- Nov 1, 2025 BNXT League Okapi Aalst 108–83 Leiden 191 pts
Last five games
Leiden
2-3 - Oct 10: Leiden 61, Brussels Basketball 77. Lost. Odds: Leiden 2.53, Brussels Basketball 1.48.
- Oct 2: Rotterdam 71, Leiden 76. Won. Odds: Rotterdam 2.40, Leiden 1.48.
- Jun 10: Zwolle 90, Leiden 74. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 7: Leiden 61, Zwolle 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 5: Zwolle 59, Leiden 61. Won. No odds on record.
Okapi Aalst
4-1 - Oct 10: Mechelen 79, Okapi Aalst 94. Won. Odds: Mechelen 2.52, Okapi Aalst 1.46.
- Oct 3: Okapi Aalst 95, Oostende 87. Won. Odds: Okapi Aalst 2.46, Oostende 1.50.
- May 9: Okapi Aalst 118, LWD Basket 90. Won. No odds on record.
- May 6: Limburg 99, Okapi Aalst 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 2: Okapi Aalst 102, Rotterdam 92. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Okapi Aalst coming into this game.
- Over/under moved down from 172.5 to 169.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 15.8 — Leiden −4.5 per 100 possessions, Okapi Aalst +11.3.
- 11th vs 3rd in the BNXT League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LEI moneyline | 2.75 | moved down 2.52 |
| OKA moneyline | 1.39 | moved down 1.31 |
| Total points | 172.5 | moved down 169.5 |
| LEI spread | +5.5 | +5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
BNXT League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Antwerp Giants |
5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 535 | 410 | +125 |
| 2 |  Liege |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | — | — | 0 |
| 2 | Brussels Basketball | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 407 | 341 | +66 |
| 3 | Okapi Aalst |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 463 | 417 | +46 |
| 4 |  Oostende |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 385 | 365 | +20 |
| 5 |  Spirou Charleroi |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 399 | 328 | +71 |
| 6 |  Limburg |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 456 | 433 | +23 |
| 7 |  Den Bosch |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 399 | 402 | −3 |
| 8 |  Leuven Bears |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 340 | 345 | −5 |
| 9 |  Zwolle |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 352 | 374 | −22 |
| 10 |  Donar Groningen |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 415 | 441 | −26 |
| 11 | Leiden |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 376 | 388 | −12 |
| 12 |  Mechelen |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 445 | 476 | −31 |
| 13 | Rotterdam | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 381 | 404 | −23 |
| 14 |  Kortrijk |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 405 | 431 | −26 |
| 15 |  CB Liege |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 377 | 462 | −85 |
| 16 |  Belfius Mons |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 326 | 444 | −118 |
Pct percentage of games won. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Leiden host Okapi Aalst in the BNXT League on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.