Leiden vs Donar Groningen Prediction & Odds

BNXT League Saturday, October 31, 2026Sat, Oct 31 Start15:00ET

LeidenHome · 2-3 · 11th · 1.47

8317222618

Donar GroningenAway · 3-2 · 10th · 2.45

9624192528

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Leiden 17 22 26 18

Donar Groningen 24 19 25 28

FT SportcomplexSportcomplex

Best tip of the game

Point spread Lost

LEI +3.5 1.35 85%

Leiden +3.5 on the spread edge +7.8%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Lost LEI +3.5 1.35 Leiden +3.5 on the spread Confidence85% model 78.6% · market 70.8% edge +7.8%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.47 71.6% 65.0% +6.6% 85% Lost

Total points U168.5 1.39 71.5% 66.0% +5.5% 85% Lost

Point spread LEI +3.5 1.35 78.6% 70.8% +7.8% 85% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Leiden8383

Donar Groningen9675

Total 158 actual 179

Winning margin LEI by 8 actual DON by 13

Chance to win LEI 72% DON won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Leiden8383

Donar Groningen9675

Total 158 Margin LEI by 8 Win LEI 72% Actual 179 · DON won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 7+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Leiden large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Donar Groningen

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Leiden vs Donar Groningen

Leiden Donar Groningen

Last 28 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Leiden 2-3

Oct 24: Leuven Bears 67, Leiden 64. Lost. Odds: Leuven Bears 1.74, Leiden 1.96.
Oct 17: Leiden 92, Okapi Aalst 77. Won. Odds: Leiden 2.52, Okapi Aalst 1.31.
Oct 10: Leiden 61, Brussels Basketball 77. Lost. Odds: Leiden 2.53, Brussels Basketball 1.48.
Oct 2: Rotterdam 71, Leiden 76. Won. Odds: Rotterdam 2.40, Leiden 1.48.
Jun 10: Zwolle 90, Leiden 74. Lost. No odds on record.

Donar Groningen 3-2

Oct 27: Donar Groningen 90, Voluntari 71. Won. Odds: Donar Groningen 2.45, Voluntari 1.42.
Oct 25: Okapi Aalst 114, Donar Groningen 90. Lost. Odds: Okapi Aalst 1.20, Donar Groningen 3.80.
Oct 14: Donar Groningen 63, Spirou Charleroi 90. Lost. Odds: Donar Groningen 1.69, Spirou Charleroi 2.04.
Oct 6: Donar Groningen 81, Leuven Bears 78. Won. Odds: Donar Groningen 1.72, Leuven Bears 1.95.
Oct 2: Kortrijk 76, Donar Groningen 85. Won. Odds: Kortrijk 1.26, Donar Groningen 3.40.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
LEI moneyline	1.38	moved up 1.47
DON moneyline	2.75	moved down 2.45
Total points	161.5	moved down 160.5
LEI spread	−4.5	moved up −3.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

BNXT League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Antwerp Giants	5	5	0	1.000	535	410	+125
2	Liege	0	0	0	.000	—	—	0
2	Brussels Basketball	5	4	1	.800	407	341	+66
3	Okapi Aalst	5	4	1	.800	463	417	+46
4	Oostende	5	3	2	.600	385	365	+20
5	Spirou Charleroi	5	3	2	.600	399	328	+71
6	Limburg	5	3	2	.600	456	433	+23
7	Den Bosch	5	3	2	.600	399	402	−3
8	Leuven Bears	5	3	2	.600	340	345	−5
9	Zwolle	5	3	2	.600	352	374	−22
10	Donar Groningen	5	3	2	.600	415	441	−26
11	Leiden	5	2	3	.400	376	388	−12
12	Mechelen	5	2	3	.400	445	476	−31
13	Rotterdam	5	2	3	.400	381	404	−23
14	Kortrijk	5	0	5	.000	405	431	−26
15	CB Liege	5	0	5	.000	377	462	−85
16	Belfius Mons	5	0	5	.000	326	444	−118

Pct percentage of games won. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Leiden host Donar Groningen in the BNXT League on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.