Leiden vs Brussels Basketball prediction
Leiden
16
20
12
13
Brussels Basketball
23
16
25
13
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Leiden6177Brussels Basketball7777Leiden6177Brussels Basketball7777Total 154 Win LEI 52% Actual 138 · BRU won
Leiden
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Brussels Basketball
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Leiden vs Brussels Basketball
Leiden
Brussels Basketball
Last 28 and 27 games with full stats · all competitions
Leiden at home, last 21 games · Brussels Basketball away, last 22
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Leiden 1, Brussels Basketball 1.
- Average total 187.5 points per meeting
- Over 163.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LEI by 6 Feb 18, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 18, 2026 BNXT League Leiden 102–96 Brussels Basketball 198 pts
- Dec 12, 2025 BNXT League Brussels Basketball 97–80 Leiden 177 pts
Last five games
Leiden
2-3 - Oct 2: Rotterdam 71, Leiden 76. Won. Odds: Rotterdam 2.40, Leiden 1.48.
- Jun 10: Zwolle 90, Leiden 74. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 7: Leiden 61, Zwolle 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 5: Zwolle 59, Leiden 61. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 3: Leiden 68, Zwolle 86. Lost. No odds on record.
Brussels Basketball
3-2 - Oct 6: Brussels Basketball 94, CB Liege 70. Won. Odds: Brussels Basketball 1.06, CB Liege 8.08.
- May 9: Oostende 84, Brussels Basketball 53. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 6: Brussels Basketball 56, Mechelen 57. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 3: Brussels Basketball 93, LWD Basket 76. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Rotterdam 66, Brussels Basketball 83. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 7 days off for Leiden, 3 for Brussels Basketball.
- Over/under moved up from 160.5 to 163.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 13.7 — Leiden −4.5 per 100 possessions, Brussels Basketball +9.2.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LEI moneyline | 2.70 | moved down 2.53 |
| BRU moneyline | 1.39 | moved up 1.48 |
| Total points | 160.5 | moved up 163.5 |
| LEI spread | +2.5 | +2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
BNXT League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Antwerp Giants |
5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 535 | 410 | +125 |
| 2 |  Liege |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | — | — | 0 |
| 2 | Brussels Basketball | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 407 | 341 | +66 |
| 3 |  Okapi Aalst |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 463 | 417 | +46 |
| 4 |  Oostende |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 385 | 365 | +20 |
| 5 |  Spirou Charleroi |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 399 | 328 | +71 |
| 6 |  Limburg |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 456 | 433 | +23 |
| 7 |  Den Bosch |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 399 | 402 | −3 |
| 8 |  Leuven Bears |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 340 | 345 | −5 |
| 9 |  Zwolle |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 352 | 374 | −22 |
| 10 |  Donar Groningen |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 415 | 441 | −26 |
| 11 | Leiden |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 376 | 388 | −12 |
| 12 |  Mechelen |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 445 | 476 | −31 |
| 13 | Rotterdam | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 381 | 404 | −23 |
| 14 |  Kortrijk |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 405 | 431 | −26 |
| 15 |  CB Liege |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 377 | 462 | −85 |
| 16 |  Belfius Mons |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 326 | 444 | −118 |
Pct percentage of games won. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Leiden host Brussels Basketball in the BNXT League on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.