Leicester Riders vs Manchester Basketball prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 167 Margin LEI by 3 Win LEI 59% Actual 176 · MAN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Shooting
Leicester Riders vs Manchester Basketball
Last 7 and 14 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Leicester Riders 1, Manchester Basketball 3.
- Average total 182.5 points per meeting
- Over 166.5 3 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MAN by 3 Apr 17, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 17, 2026 SLB Leicester Riders 98–101 Manchester Basketball 199 pts
- Mar 29, 2026 SLB Manchester Basketball 89–86 Leicester Riders 175 pts
- Jan 11, 2026 SLB Leicester Riders 102–95 Manchester Basketball 197 pts
- Oct 5, 2025 SLB Manchester Basketball 87–72 Leicester Riders 159 pts
Last five games
- Oct 17: Surrey 89ers 107, Leicester Riders 102. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Surrey 89ers 1.55, Leicester Riders 1.95.
- Oct 11: Sheffield Sharks 85, Leicester Riders 75. Lost. Odds: Sheffield Sharks 1.23, Leicester Riders 3.90.
- Oct 9: Leicester Riders 73, Bristol Flyers 78. Lost. Odds: Leicester Riders 1.70, Bristol Flyers 2.02.
- Oct 2: London Lions 71, Leicester Riders 66. Lost. Odds: London Lions 1.07, Leicester Riders 6.25.
- Sep 27: Cheshire Phoenix 108, Leicester Riders 94. Lost. Odds: Cheshire Phoenix 1.48, Leicester Riders 2.52.
- Oct 21: Korfez Basket 112, Manchester Basketball 71. Lost. Odds: Korfez Basket 1.05, Manchester Basketball 7.30.
- Oct 18: Manchester Basketball 92, Caledonia Gladiators 94. Lost. Odds: Manchester Basketball 1.38, Caledonia Gladiators 2.60.
- Oct 16: Newcastle Eagles 78, Manchester Basketball 81. Won. Odds: Newcastle Eagles 1.36, Manchester Basketball 2.89.
- Oct 9: Manchester Basketball 91, Cheshire Phoenix 105. Lost. Odds: Manchester Basketball 1.78, Cheshire Phoenix 1.93.
- Oct 7: Chalon/Saone 79, Manchester Basketball 72. Lost. Odds: Chalon/Saone 1.06, Manchester Basketball 7.00.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 7-game losing streak for Leicester Riders coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Manchester Basketball dropped from 2.18 to 1.92 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Leicester Riders, 1 for Manchester Basketball.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Manchester Basketball.
- 1-4 in the last five for Manchester Basketball.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LEI moneyline | 1.62 | moved up 1.75 |
| MAN moneyline | 2.18 | moved down 1.92 |
| Total points | 166.5 | 166.5 |
| LEI spread | −2.5 | moved up −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
SLB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 658 | 585 | +73 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 683 | 593 | +90 | |
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 641 | 646 | −5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 632 | 654 | −22 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 402 | 433 | −31 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 500 | 486 | +14 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 677 | 679 | −2 | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 554 | 575 | −21 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 486 | 520 | −34 | |
| 10 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 577 | 639 | −62 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Leicester Riders host Manchester Basketball in the SLB on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.