Leicester Riders vs Bristol Flyers prediction
Leicester Riders
15
21
13
24
Bristol Flyers
16
23
17
22
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Leicester Riders7383Bristol Flyers7887Leicester Riders7383Bristol Flyers7887Total 170 Margin BRI by 4 Win BRI 61% Actual 151 · BRI won
Leicester Riders
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Bristol Flyers
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Leicester Riders vs Bristol Flyers
Leicester Riders
Bristol Flyers
Last 7 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Leicester Riders 3, Bristol Flyers 1.
- Average total 157.0 points per meeting
- Over 164.5 0 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LEI by 7 Apr 5, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 5, 2026 SLB Leicester Riders 85–78 Bristol Flyers 163 pts
- Jan 18, 2026 SLB Bristol Flyers 79–84 Leicester Riders 163 pts
- Dec 30, 2025 SLB Leicester Riders 85–73 Bristol Flyers 158 pts
- Sep 28, 2025 SLB Bristol Flyers 74–70 Leicester Riders 144 pts
Last five games
Leicester Riders
1-4 - Oct 2: London Lions 71, Leicester Riders 66. Lost. Odds: London Lions 1.07, Leicester Riders 6.25.
- Sep 27: Cheshire Phoenix 108, Leicester Riders 94. Lost. Odds: Cheshire Phoenix 1.48, Leicester Riders 2.52.
- May 10: London Lions 78, Leicester Riders 65. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 7: Leicester Riders 70, London Lions 89. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 3: Sheffield Sharks 87, Leicester Riders 97. Won. No odds on record.
Bristol Flyers
2-3 - Oct 2: Bristol Flyers 76, Manchester Basketball 58. Won. Odds: Bristol Flyers 1.75, Manchester Basketball 1.91.
- Sep 30: Bristol Flyers 68, Tindastoll 85. Lost. Odds: Bristol Flyers 1.86, Tindastoll 1.88.
- Sep 25: Newcastle Eagles 94, Bristol Flyers 68. Lost. Odds: Newcastle Eagles 1.67, Bristol Flyers 2.12.
- Sep 20: Cheshire Phoenix 92, Bristol Flyers 101. Won. Odds: Cheshire Phoenix 1.34, Bristol Flyers 3.07.
- Sep 18: Bristol Flyers 78, London Lions 80. Lost. Odds: Bristol Flyers 5.80, London Lions 1.09.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Leicester Riders coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 8.6 — Leicester Riders −11.9 per 100 possessions, Bristol Flyers −3.3.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Leicester Riders.
- 157.0 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 164.5.
- 10th vs 3rd in the SLB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LEI moneyline | 1.75 | moved down 1.70 |
| BRI moneyline | 1.98 | moved up 2.02 |
| Total points | 164.5 | 164.5 |
| LEI spread | −1.5 | moved down −2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
SLB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  London Lions |
8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 658 | 585 | +73 |
| 2 |  Newcastle Eagles |
8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 683 | 593 | +90 |
| 3 | Bristol Flyers |
8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 641 | 646 | −5 |
| 4 |  Manchester Basketball |
8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 632 | 654 | −22 |
| 5 |  Caledonia Gladiators |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 402 | 433 | −31 |
| 6 |  Sheffield Sharks |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 500 | 486 | +14 |
| 7 |  Cheshire Phoenix |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 677 | 679 | −2 |
| 8 |  Liverpool |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 554 | 575 | −21 |
| 9 |  Surrey 89ers |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 486 | 520 | −34 |
| 10 | Leicester Riders |
7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 577 | 639 | −62 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Leicester Riders host Bristol Flyers in the SLB on Friday, October 9, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.