Le Mans vs Pau-Orthez prediction
Le Mans
16
24
27
20
19
Pau-Orthez
15
29
20
23
10
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 83%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Le Mans10689Pau-Orthez9782Le Mans10689Pau-Orthez9782Total 171 Margin LEX by 7 Win LEX 70% Actual 203 · LEX won
Le Mans
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Pau-Orthez
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Le Mans vs Pau-Orthez
Le Mans
Pau-Orthez
Last 11 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Le Mans
4-1 - Oct 28: Le Mans 83, Hapoel Jerusalem 90. Lost. Odds: Le Mans 3.10, Hapoel Jerusalem 1.33.
- Oct 24: Boulazac 72, Le Mans 97. Won. Odds: Boulazac 2.72, Le Mans 1.41.
- Oct 21: Cedevita Olimpija 66, Le Mans 84. Won. Odds: Cedevita Olimpija 1.54, Le Mans 2.35.
- Oct 18: Le Mans 91, JL Bourg 90. Won. Odds: Le Mans 1.34, JL Bourg 3.05.
- Oct 14: Le Mans 82, Rostock 70. Won. Odds: Le Mans 1.30, Rostock 3.05.
Pau-Orthez
3-2 - Oct 25: Pau-Orthez 85, Limoges 81. Won. Odds: Pau-Orthez 1.83, Limoges 1.83.
- Oct 17: Pau-Orthez 102, Saint Quentin 89. Won. Odds: Pau-Orthez 1.50, Saint Quentin 2.32.
- Oct 10: Cholet 85, Pau-Orthez 79. Lost. Odds: Cholet 1.18, Pau-Orthez 4.55.
- Oct 6: Tarbes 69, Pau-Orthez 109. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 3: Pau-Orthez 61, Dijon 89. Lost. Odds: Pau-Orthez 2.82, Dijon 1.41.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Pau-Orthez, 2 for Le Mans.
- Net rating difference of 14.8 — Le Mans +7.0 per 100 possessions, Pau-Orthez −7.8.
- 4-1 in the last five for Le Mans.
- 4th vs 11th in the LNB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LEX moneyline | 1.08 | 1.08 |
| PAU moneyline | 7.25 | 7.25 |
| Total points | 172.5 | 172.5 |
| LEX spread | −13.5 | moved up −12.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LNB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris |
5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 465 | 408 | +57 |
| 2 |  Lyon-Villeurbanne |
5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 438 | 395 | +43 |
| 3 |  Dijon |
6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 555 | 501 | +54 |
| 4 | Le Mans |
6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 596 | 546 | +50 |
| 5 |  Chalon/Saone |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 459 | 387 | +72 |
| 6 |  Nanterre |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 514 | 477 | +37 |
| 7 |  Strasbourg |
7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 580 | 606 | −26 |
| 8 |  Roanne |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 485 | 495 | −10 |
| 9 |  Cholet |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 483 | 512 | −29 |
| 10 |  Boulazac |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 484 | 517 | −33 |
| 11 | Pau-Orthez |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 488 | 528 | −40 |
| 12 |  Nancy |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 478 | 508 | −30 |
| 13 |  JL Bourg |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 543 | 540 | +3 |
| 14 |  Limoges |
6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 526 | 546 | −20 |
| 15 |  Saint Quentin |
6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 532 | 584 | −52 |
| 16 |  Gravelines-Dunkerque |
6 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 468 | 544 | −76 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
- Playoffs
- Relegation - Elite 2
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Le Mans host Pau-Orthez in the LNB on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.