Le Mans vs Paris prediction
Le Mans
21
20
33
27
Paris
17
29
25
32
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Le Mans10189Paris10379Le Mans10189Paris10379Total 168 Margin LEX by 10 Win LEX 76% Actual 204 · PAR won
Le Mans
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Paris
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Le Mans vs Paris
Le Mans
Paris
Last 11 and 17 games with full stats · all competitions
Le Mans at home, last 6 games · Paris away, last 8
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Le Mans 2, Paris 1.
- Average total 187.7 points per meeting
- Over 173.5 3 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting PAR by 18 Jan 18, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 18, 2026 LNB Paris 110–92 Le Mans 202 pts
- Oct 6, 2025 LNB Le Mans 95–89 Paris 184 pts
- Sep 20, 2025 LNB Super Cup Le Mans 90–87 Paris 177 pts
Last five games
Le Mans
2-3 - Sep 29: Le Mans 74, Aris 87. Lost. Odds: Le Mans 3.30, Aris 1.30.
- Sep 26: Gravelines-Dunkerque 97, Le Mans 103. After overtime. Won. Odds: Gravelines-Dunkerque 3.39, Le Mans 1.29.
- May 27: Le Mans 55, Nanterre 64. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 25: Nanterre 90, Le Mans 74. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 16: Le Mans 101, Limoges 84. Won. No odds on record.
Paris
3-2 - Oct 1: Paris 82, Zalgiris Kaunas 78. Won. Odds: Paris 2.54, Zalgiris Kaunas 1.52.
- Sep 29: Paris 79, Partizan Mozzart Bet 92. Lost. Odds: Paris 1.65, Partizan Mozzart Bet 2.25.
- Sep 27: Nancy 73, Paris 78. Won. Odds: Nancy 3.12, Paris 1.34.
- Sep 24: Panathinaikos 91, Paris 72. Lost. Odds: Panathinaikos 1.23, Paris 4.05.
- Sep 20: Roanne 59, Paris 81. Won. Odds: Roanne 4.30, Paris 1.19.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Le Mans, 2 for Paris.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Le Mans.
- 187.7 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 173.5.
- 4th vs 1st in the LNB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LEX moneyline | 2.10 | moved up 2.18 |
| PAR moneyline | 1.65 | 1.65 |
| Total points | 173.5 | 173.5 |
| LEX spread | +2.5 | +2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LNB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris |
5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 465 | 408 | +57 |
| 2 |  Lyon-Villeurbanne |
5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 438 | 395 | +43 |
| 3 |  Dijon |
6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 555 | 501 | +54 |
| 4 | Le Mans |
6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 596 | 546 | +50 |
| 5 |  Chalon/Saone |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 459 | 387 | +72 |
| 6 |  Nanterre |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 514 | 477 | +37 |
| 7 |  Strasbourg |
7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 580 | 606 | −26 |
| 8 |  Roanne |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 485 | 495 | −10 |
| 9 |  Cholet |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 483 | 512 | −29 |
| 10 |  Boulazac |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 484 | 517 | −33 |
| 11 |  Pau-Orthez |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 488 | 528 | −40 |
| 12 |  Nancy |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 478 | 508 | −30 |
| 13 |  JL Bourg |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 543 | 540 | +3 |
| 14 |  Limoges |
6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 526 | 546 | −20 |
| 15 |  Saint Quentin |
6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 532 | 584 | −52 |
| 16 |  Gravelines-Dunkerque |
6 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 468 | 544 | −76 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
- Playoffs
- Relegation - Elite 2
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Le Mans host Paris in the LNB on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.