Le Mans vs JL Bourg prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 77%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 177 Margin LEX by 5 Win LEX 62% Actual 181 · LEX won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Le Mans vs JL Bourg
Last 11 games each with full stats · all competitions
Le Mans at home, last 6 games · JL Bourg away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Le Mans 1, JL Bourg 1.
- Average total 175.0 points per meeting
- Over 176.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BOU by 12 Mar 14, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 14, 2026 LNB JL Bourg 98–86 Le Mans 184 pts
- Oct 18, 2025 LNB Le Mans 84–82 JL Bourg 166 pts
Last five games
- Oct 14: Le Mans 82, Rostock 70. Won. Odds: Le Mans 1.30, Rostock 3.05.
- Oct 11: Saint Quentin 88, Le Mans 98. Won. Odds: Saint Quentin 3.29, Le Mans 1.31.
- Oct 7: Tortona 89, Le Mans 83. Lost. Odds: Tortona 1.48, Le Mans 2.59.
- Oct 4: Le Mans 101, Paris 103. Lost. Odds: Le Mans 2.18, Paris 1.65.
- Sep 29: Le Mans 74, Aris 87. Lost. Odds: Le Mans 3.30, Aris 1.30.
- Oct 13: Neptunas 93, JL Bourg 89. Lost. Odds: Neptunas 2.14, JL Bourg 1.68.
- Oct 10: Boulazac 84, JL Bourg 73. Lost. Odds: Boulazac 2.97, JL Bourg 1.36.
- Oct 6: JL Bourg 82, Tofas 89. Lost. Odds: JL Bourg 1.45, Tofas 2.60.
- Oct 3: JL Bourg 90, Chalon/Saone 77. Won. Odds: JL Bourg 1.52, Chalon/Saone 2.48.
- Sep 30: Basket Napoli 84, JL Bourg 76. Lost. Odds: Basket Napoli 1.40, JL Bourg 2.85.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for JL Bourg coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 10.0 — Le Mans +7.0 per 100 possessions, JL Bourg −3.0.
- 4th vs 13th in the LNB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LEX moneyline | 1.27 | moved up 1.34 |
| BOU moneyline | 2.85 | moved up 3.05 |
| Total points | 177.5 | moved down 176.5 |
| LEX spread | −7.5 | moved up −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LNB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 465 | 408 | +57 | |
| 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 438 | 395 | +43 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 555 | 501 | +54 | |
| 4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 596 | 546 | +50 | |
| 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 459 | 387 | +72 | |
| 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 514 | 477 | +37 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 580 | 606 | −26 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 485 | 495 | −10 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 483 | 512 | −29 | |
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 484 | 517 | −33 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 488 | 528 | −40 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 478 | 508 | −30 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 543 | 540 | +3 | |
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 526 | 546 | −20 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 532 | 584 | −52 | |
| 16 | 6 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 468 | 544 | −76 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
- Playoffs
- Relegation - Elite 2
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Le Mans host JL Bourg in the LNB on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.