Le Mans vs Aris prediction
Le Mans
26
14
15
19
Aris
15
24
24
24
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Le Mans7487Aris8789Le Mans7487Aris8789Total 176 Margin ARI by 2 Win ARI 53% Actual 161 · ARI won
Le Mans
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Aris
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Le Mans vs Aris
Le Mans
Aris
Last 11 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Le Mans at home, last 6 games · Aris away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Le Mans
3-2 - Sep 26: Gravelines-Dunkerque 97, Le Mans 103. After overtime. Won. Odds: Gravelines-Dunkerque 3.39, Le Mans 1.29.
- May 27: Le Mans 55, Nanterre 64. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 25: Nanterre 90, Le Mans 74. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 16: Le Mans 101, Limoges 84. Won. No odds on record.
- May 9: Saint Quentin 85, Le Mans 88. Won. No odds on record.
Aris
2-3 - May 25: AEK Athens 102, Aris 99. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 17: Aris 90, AEK Athens 81. Won. No odds on record.
- May 14: AEK Athens 87, Aris 81. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Aris 75, Panionios 65. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 22: Peristeri 78, Aris 75. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Aris dropped from 1.50 to 1.30 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 12.6 — Le Mans +7.0 per 100 possessions, Aris +19.6.
- 5th vs 1st in the EuroCup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LEX moneyline | 2.42 | moved up 3.30 |
| ARI moneyline | 1.50 | moved down 1.30 |
| Total points | 167.5 | 167.5 |
| LEX spread | +3.5 | moved up +6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroCup standings
Regular Season · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aris |
5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 456 | 374 | +82 |
| 2 |  Hapoel Jerusalem |
5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 444 | 368 | +76 |
| 3 |  Tortona |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 416 | 419 | −3 |
| 4 |  Rigas Zelli |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 404 | 421 | −17 |
| 5 | Le Mans |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 406 | 402 | +4 |
| 6 |  San Pablo Burgos |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 399 | 427 | −28 |
| 7 |  Rostock |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 392 | 458 | −66 |
| 8 |  Cedevita Olimpija |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 363 | 411 | −48 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Le Mans host Aris in the EuroCup on Tuesday, September 29, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.