Las Vegas Aces vs Seattle Storm prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 172 Win LVA 52% Actual 175 · LVA won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Las Vegas Aces vs Seattle Storm
Last 29 and 30 games with full stats · all competitions
Las Vegas Aces at home, last 22 games · Seattle Storm away, last 23
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Las Vegas Aces 4, Seattle Storm 1.
- Average total 175.6 points per meeting
- Over 178.5 3 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LVA by 37 Sep 17, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 17, 2026 WNBA Seattle Storm 77–114 Las Vegas Aces 191 pts
- Jun 8, 2026 WNBA Las Vegas Aces 101–91 Seattle Storm 192 pts
- Sep 18, 2025 WNBA Las Vegas Aces 74–73 Seattle Storm 147 pts
- Sep 16, 2025 WNBA Seattle Storm 86–83 Las Vegas Aces 169 pts
- Sep 14, 2025 WNBA Las Vegas Aces 102–77 Seattle Storm 179 pts
Last five games
- Sep 17: Seattle Storm 77, Las Vegas Aces 114. Won. Odds: Seattle Storm 4.51, Las Vegas Aces 1.19.
- Aug 28: Las Vegas Aces 93, Toronto Tempo 73. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 23: Toronto Tempo 78, Las Vegas Aces 88. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 20: Las Vegas Aces 101, Connecticut Sun 78. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 18: Las Vegas Aces 82, Atlanta Dream 97. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 19: Golden State Valkyries 70, Seattle Storm 57. Lost. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.11, Seattle Storm 6.00.
- Sep 17: Seattle Storm 77, Las Vegas Aces 114. Lost. Odds: Seattle Storm 4.51, Las Vegas Aces 1.19.
- Aug 30: Seattle Storm 74, Los Angeles Sparks 90. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 26: Seattle Storm 90, Toronto Tempo 78. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 23: Dallas Wings 92, Seattle Storm 70. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Seattle Storm, who played yesterday.
- 4-game winning streak for Las Vegas Aces coming into this game.
- 3-game losing streak for Seattle Storm coming into this game.
- 2-21 away for Seattle Storm this season.
- Over/under moved up from 176.5 to 178.5 since it was first published.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LVA moneyline | 1.04 | 1.04 |
| SEA moneyline | 10.40 | moved down 8.50 |
| Total points | 176.5 | moved up 178.5 |
| LVA spread | −15.5 | moved down −17.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
WNBA standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44 | 33 | 11 | .750 | 3997 | 3681 | +316 | |
| 2 | 44 | 32 | 12 | .727 | 3615 | 3306 | +309 | |
| 3 | 44 | 31 | 13 | .705 | 4025 | 3776 | +249 | |
| 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | .614 | 3933 | 3751 | +182 | |
| 5 | 44 | 17 | 27 | .386 | 3794 | 4005 | −211 | |
| 6 | 44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3830 | 4018 | −188 | |
| 7 | 44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3712 | 3854 | −142 | |
| 8 | 44 | 8 | 36 | .182 | 3616 | 3913 | −297 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Las Vegas Aces host Seattle Storm in the WNBA on Sunday, September 20, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.