Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries prediction
Las Vegas Aces
19
26
7
19
6
Golden State Valkyries
16
20
17
18
16
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 59%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Las Vegas Aces7780Golden State Valkyries8779Las Vegas Aces7780Golden State Valkyries8779Total 159 Margin LVA by 1 Win LVA 53% Actual 164 · GSV won
Las Vegas Aces
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Golden State Valkyries
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries
Las Vegas Aces
Golden State Valkyries
Last 29 games each with full stats · all competitions
Las Vegas Aces at home, last 22 games · Golden State Valkyries away, last 26
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Las Vegas Aces 3, Golden State Valkyries 2.
- Average total 159.0 points per meeting
- Over 156.5 4 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting GSV by 2 Oct 7, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 7, 2026 WNBA Golden State Valkyries 83–81 Las Vegas Aces 164 pts
- Oct 4, 2026 WNBA Golden State Valkyries 71–60 Las Vegas Aces 131 pts
- Jun 21, 2026 WNBA Las Vegas Aces 92–73 Golden State Valkyries 165 pts
- Jun 6, 2026 WNBA Las Vegas Aces 84–79 Golden State Valkyries 163 pts
- May 31, 2026 WNBA Golden State Valkyries 81–91 Las Vegas Aces 172 pts
Last five games
Las Vegas Aces
2-3 - Oct 7: Golden State Valkyries 83, Las Vegas Aces 81. Lost. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.70, Las Vegas Aces 2.11.
- Oct 4: Golden State Valkyries 71, Las Vegas Aces 60. Lost. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.80, Las Vegas Aces 1.90.
- Oct 1: Las Vegas Aces 94, Indiana Fever 83. Won. Odds: Las Vegas Aces 1.53, Indiana Fever 2.55.
- Sep 29: Indiana Fever 99, Las Vegas Aces 89. Lost. Odds: Indiana Fever 1.85, Las Vegas Aces 1.98.
- Sep 24: Phoenix Mercury 82, Las Vegas Aces 100. Won. Odds: Phoenix Mercury 4.60, Las Vegas Aces 1.19.
Golden State Valkyries
4-1 - Oct 7: Golden State Valkyries 83, Las Vegas Aces 81. Won. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.70, Las Vegas Aces 2.11.
- Oct 4: Golden State Valkyries 71, Las Vegas Aces 60. Won. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.80, Las Vegas Aces 1.90.
- Oct 2: Golden State Valkyries 77, Dallas Wings 73. Won. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.26, Dallas Wings 3.65.
- Sep 30: Dallas Wings 108, Golden State Valkyries 100. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Dallas Wings 2.50, Golden State Valkyries 1.55.
- Sep 27: Golden State Valkyries 104, Dallas Wings 80. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Golden State Valkyries coming into this game.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Las Vegas Aces.
- 159.0 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 156.5.
- 3rd vs 2nd in the WNBA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LVA moneyline | 1.55 | moved down 1.45 |
| GSV moneyline | 2.52 | moved up 2.80 |
| Total points | 157.5 | moved down 156.5 |
| LVA spread | −4.5 | −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
WNBA standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota Lynx |
44 | 33 | 11 | .750 | 3997 | 3681 | +316 |
| 2 | Golden State Valkyries |
44 | 32 | 12 | .727 | 3615 | 3306 | +309 |
| 3 | Las Vegas Aces |
44 | 31 | 13 | .705 | 4025 | 3776 | +249 |
| 4 |  Dallas Wings |
44 | 27 | 17 | .614 | 3933 | 3751 | +182 |
| 5 |  Portland Fire |
44 | 17 | 27 | .386 | 3794 | 4005 | −211 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles Sparks |
44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3830 | 4018 | −188 |
| 7 |  Phoenix Mercury |
44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3712 | 3854 | −142 |
| 8 |  Seattle Storm |
44 | 8 | 36 | .182 | 3616 | 3913 | −297 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Las Vegas Aces host Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA on Friday, October 9, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.