Larranaga vs Aguada prediction
Larranaga
26
18
25
22
Aguada
24
23
16
12
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 57%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Larranaga9182Aguada7585Larranaga9182Aguada7585Total 167 Margin AGU by 3 Win AGU 58% Actual 166 · LAR won
Larranaga vs Aguada
Larranaga
Aguada
Last five games
Larranaga
0-2 - Oct 23: Bigua 94, Larranaga 74. Lost. Odds: Bigua 1.05, Larranaga 6.00.
- Oct 21: Larranaga 78, Union Atletica 94. Lost. Odds: Larranaga 1.70, Union Atletica 1.98.
Aguada
3-2 - Oct 23: Aguada 66, Union Atletica 63. Won. Odds: Aguada 1.16, Union Atletica 3.85.
- Oct 20: Nacional 81, Aguada 83. Won. Odds: Nacional 1.44, Aguada 2.40.
- Jun 22: Aguada 92, Penarol 107. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 19: Penarol 80, Aguada 71. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 16: Aguada 92, Penarol 81. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved down from 170.5 to 167.5 since it was first published.
- 12th vs 4th in the Liga Uruguaya standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LAR moneyline | 5.50 | moved down 5.20 |
| AGU moneyline | 1.07 | moved up 1.08 |
| Total points | 170.5 | moved down 167.5 |
| LAR spread | +12.5 | +12.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga Uruguaya standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bigua |
4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 374 | 333 | +41 |
| 2 |  Goes |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 347 | +28 |
| 3 |  Malvin |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 308 | 335 | −27 |
| 4 | Aguada |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 308 | 292 | +16 |
| 5 |  Atenas |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 282 | 324 | −42 |
| 6 |  Union Atletica |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 313 | 323 | −10 |
| 7 |  Urunday |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 337 | 341 | −4 |
| 8 |  Penarol |
2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 192 | 155 | +37 |
| 9 |  Nacional |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 281 | 284 | −3 |
| 10 |  Hebraica y Macabi |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 244 | 253 | −9 |
| 11 |  Defensor |
2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 165 | 153 | +12 |
| 12 | Larranaga |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 314 | 353 | −39 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Larranaga host Aguada in the Liga Uruguaya on Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.