Lanus vs Penarol prediction
Lanus
26
17
23
11
Penarol
18
27
26
13
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Lanus7779Penarol8477Lanus7779Penarol8477Total 156 Margin LAN by 2 Win LAN 58% Actual 161 · PEN won
Lanus vs Penarol
Lanus
Penarol
Last five games
Lanus
1-1 - Oct 9: Lanus 67, Obera TC 58. Won. Odds: Lanus 1.79, Obera TC 1.92.
- Sep 28: Lanus 74, Gimnasia 92. Lost. Odds: Lanus 2.25, Gimnasia 1.55.
Penarol
2-3 - Sep 30: Penarol 62, Gimnasia 57. Won. Odds: Penarol 2.13, Gimnasia 1.66.
- May 2: Penarol 68, Ferro 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 30: Penarol 87, Ferro 75. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Ferro 80, Penarol 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 24: Ferro 97, Penarol 91. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 12th vs 2nd in the Liga A standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LAN moneyline | 1.65 | moved up 1.90 |
| PEN moneyline | 1.80 | moved up 1.84 |
| Total points | 155.5 | moved down 154.5 |
| LAN spread | −1.5 | moved up +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga A standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Quimsa |
6 | 6 | 0 | 1.000 | 506 | 443 | +63 |
| 2 | Penarol |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 406 | 373 | +33 |
| 3 |  Atenas |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 434 | 419 | +15 |
| 4 |  Gimnasia |
8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 610 | 583 | +27 |
| 5 |  Olimpico |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 443 | 419 | +24 |
| 6 |  Argentino |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 403 | 394 | +9 |
| 7 |  Instituto de Cordoba |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 373 | 371 | +2 |
| 8 |  Boca Juniors |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 529 | 510 | +19 |
| 9 |  Platense |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 482 | 482 | 0 |
| 10 |  Independiente de Oliva |
2 | 1 | 1 | .500 | 200 | 190 | +10 |
| 11 |  Racing de Chivilcoy |
7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 576 | 590 | −14 |
| 12 | Lanus |
8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 606 | 632 | −26 |
| 13 |  Ferro |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 492 | 513 | −21 |
| 14 |  La Union |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 244 | 252 | −8 |
| 15 |  Regatas |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 299 | 313 | −14 |
| 16 |  San Lorenzo |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 305 | 323 | −18 |
| 17 |  Obera TC |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 367 | 406 | −39 |
| 18 |  San Martin |
6 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 509 | 571 | −62 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Lanus host Penarol in the Liga A on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.