Landau Lions vs Denizli Basket prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 55%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 173 Margin LAN by 1 Win LAN 51% Actual 180 · LAN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Landau Lions vs Denizli Basket
Last 5 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 21: Bakken Bears 91, Absheron Lions 88. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Bakken Bears 1.04, Absheron Lions 8.00.
- Oct 13: BC Prievidza 108, Absheron Lions 84. Lost. Odds: BC Prievidza 1.06, Absheron Lions 4.60.
- Oct 7: Absheron Lions 83, Geneva Lions 105. Lost. Odds: Absheron Lions 1.80, Geneva Lions 1.87.
- Sep 14: VEF Riga 105, Absheron Lions 88. Lost. No odds on record.
- Nov 19, 2025: Neftchi IK 86, Absheron Lions 95. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 24: Turk Telekom 97, Denizli Basket 76. Lost. Odds: Turk Telekom 1.16, Denizli Basket 4.55.
- Oct 21: Geneva Lions 76, Denizli Basket 80. Won. Odds: Geneva Lions 2.85, Denizli Basket 1.35.
- Oct 18: Denizli Basket 70, Trabzonspor 75. Lost. Odds: Denizli Basket 1.93, Trabzonspor 1.55.
- Oct 14: Benfica 96, Denizli Basket 91. Lost. Odds: Benfica 2.18, Denizli Basket 1.42.
- Oct 11: Anadolu Efes 85, Denizli Basket 76. Lost. Odds: Anadolu Efes 1.11, Denizli Basket 6.03.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Landau Lions coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Landau Lions, 3 for Denizli Basket.
- Net rating difference of 8.1 — Landau Lions −13.9 per 100 possessions, Denizli Basket −5.8.
- 1-4 in the last five for Denizli Basket.
- Different pace — Landau Lions averaged 83.1 possessions per game, Denizli Basket 74.0.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LAN moneyline | 5.30 | moved down 4.60 |
| DEN moneyline | 1.13 | moved up 1.14 |
| Total points | 172.5 | moved down 171.5 |
| LAN spread | +10.5 | +10.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
FIBA Europe Cup standings
Regular Season · Group G
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 348 | +27 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 333 | 330 | +3 | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 347 | 331 | +16 | |
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 340 | 335 | +5 | |
| 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 338 | 348 | −10 | |
| 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 349 | 390 | −41 |
- Second stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Landau Lions host Denizli Basket in the FIBA Europe Cup on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.