Lancut vs Starogard Gdanski prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 174 Margin STA by 2 Win STA 53% Actual 166 · LAN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Lancut vs Starogard Gdanski
Last 6 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Lancut 2, Starogard Gdanski 3.
- Average total 171.2 points per meeting
- Overtime 0 of 5 meetings went to overtime
- Last meeting STA by 9 Apr 26, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 26, 2026 1 Liga Lancut 82–91 Starogard Gdanski 173 pts
- Apr 25, 2026 1 Liga Lancut 82–81 Starogard Gdanski 163 pts
- Apr 19, 2026 1 Liga Starogard Gdanski 91–90 Lancut 181 pts
- Apr 18, 2026 1 Liga Starogard Gdanski 94–81 Lancut 175 pts
- Jan 31, 2026 1 Liga Starogard Gdanski 78–86 Lancut 164 pts
Last five games
- Sep 21: Polonia Warszawa 95, Lancut 93. Lost. Odds: Polonia Warszawa 1.60, Lancut 2.15.
- Apr 26: Lancut 82, Starogard Gdanski 91. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Lancut 82, Starogard Gdanski 81. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 19: Starogard Gdanski 91, Lancut 90. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Starogard Gdanski 94, Lancut 81. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 23: Spojnia Stargard 78, Starogard Gdanski 79. Won. No odds on record.
- May 16: Starogard Gdanski 94, Spojnia Stargard 102. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 10: Starogard Gdanski 70, Bydgoszcz 72. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 9: Starogard Gdanski 103, Bydgoszcz 82. Won. No odds on record.
- May 3: Bydgoszcz 68, Starogard Gdanski 62. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved up from 169.5 to 172.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 17.3 — Lancut +6.3 per 100 possessions, Starogard Gdanski −11.0.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Starogard Gdanski.
- 1-4 in the last five for Lancut.
- 171.2 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 172.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LAN moneyline | 1.55 | moved up 1.60 |
| STA moneyline | 2.25 | moved down 2.15 |
| Total points · regulation | 169.5 | moved up 172.5 |
| LAN spread · regulation | −2.5 | moved down −3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
1 Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 636 | 514 | +122 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 649 | 600 | +49 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 616 | 548 | +68 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 639 | 597 | +42 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 634 | 639 | −5 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 582 | 569 | +13 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 558 | 551 | +7 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 636 | 642 | −6 | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 539 | 557 | −18 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 602 | 593 | +9 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 629 | 639 | −10 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 570 | 603 | −33 | |
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 597 | 610 | −13 | |
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 537 | 623 | −86 | |
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 591 | 642 | −51 | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 571 | 659 | −88 |
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Lancut host Starogard Gdanski in the 1 Liga on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.