Lahti Basketball vs Salon Vilpas prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 81%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 172 Margin SAL by 4 Win SAL 62% Actual 132 · SAL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Shooting
Lahti Basketball vs Salon Vilpas
Last 10 and 14 games with full stats · all competitions
Lahti Basketball at home, last 6 games · Salon Vilpas away, last 8
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Lahti Basketball 0, Salon Vilpas 2.
- Average total 187.0 points per meeting
- Over 174.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SAL by 1 Dec 28, 2025
Meetings
- Dec 28, 2025 Korisliiga Salon Vilpas 90–89 Lahti Basketball 179 pts
- Oct 21, 2025 Korisliiga Lahti Basketball 90–105 Salon Vilpas 195 pts
Last five games
- Oct 27: Lahti Basketball 78, Kipina 90. Lost. Odds: Lahti Basketball 1.44, Kipina 2.55.
- Oct 23: Karhu Basket 73, Lahti Basketball 68. Lost. Odds: Karhu Basket 1.33, Lahti Basketball 2.95.
- Oct 21: Lahti Basketball 108, Karhu Basket 102. After overtime. Won. Odds: Lahti Basketball 1.80, Karhu Basket 1.90.
- Oct 16: Honka 100, Lahti Basketball 86. Lost. Odds: Honka 1.39, Lahti Basketball 2.27.
- Oct 14: Lahti Basketball 91, Kouvot Kouvola 83. Won. Odds: Lahti Basketball 1.35, Kouvot Kouvola 3.00.
- Oct 27: Helsinki Seagulls 86, Salon Vilpas 79. Lost. Odds: Helsinki Seagulls 2.50, Salon Vilpas 1.45.
- Oct 24: Salon Vilpas 79, Helsinki Seagulls 64. Won. Odds: Salon Vilpas 1.22, Helsinki Seagulls 3.60.
- Oct 20: Szombathely 85, Salon Vilpas 72. Lost. Odds: Szombathely 1.27, Salon Vilpas 3.45.
- Oct 17: Bisons Loimaa 70, Salon Vilpas 81. Won. Odds: Bisons Loimaa 4.42, Salon Vilpas 1.17.
- Oct 14: Salon Vilpas 81, KTP Kotka Basket 102. Lost. Odds: Salon Vilpas 1.38, KTP Kotka Basket 2.88.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Net rating difference of 16.7 — Lahti Basketball −7.9 per 100 possessions, Salon Vilpas +8.8.
- 7th vs 4th in the Korisliiga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LAH moneyline | 3.70 | moved down 3.30 |
| SAL moneyline | 1.22 | moved up 1.26 |
| Total points | 173.5 | moved up 174.5 |
| LAH spread | +7.5 | +7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Korisliiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 760 | 667 | +93 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 778 | 701 | +77 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 824 | 786 | +38 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 696 | 633 | +63 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 630 | 657 | −27 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 694 | 697 | −3 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 644 | 689 | −45 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 690 | 692 | −2 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 668 | 682 | −14 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 692 | 726 | −34 | |
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 585 | 684 | −99 | |
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 702 | 749 | −47 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation - I Divisioona A
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Lahti Basketball host Salon Vilpas in the Korisliiga on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.