Lahti Basketball vs Kouvot Kouvola prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 83%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 176 Margin LAH by 4 Win LAH 58% Actual 174 · LAH won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Lahti Basketball vs Kouvot Kouvola
Last 10 games each with full stats · all competitions
Lahti Basketball at home, last 6 games · Kouvot Kouvola away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Lahti Basketball 2, Kouvot Kouvola 2.
- Average total 178.3 points per meeting
- Over 177.5 2 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting KOU by 16 Feb 22, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 22, 2026 Korisliiga Lahti Basketball 80–96 Kouvot Kouvola 176 pts
- Jan 30, 2026 Korisliiga Kouvot Kouvola 79–74 Lahti Basketball 153 pts
- Jan 14, 2026 Korisliiga Lahti Basketball 107–96 Kouvot Kouvola 203 pts
- Nov 8, 2025 Korisliiga Kouvot Kouvola 78–103 Lahti Basketball 181 pts
Last five games
- Oct 7: Lahti Basketball 91, Kataja 85. Won. Odds: Lahti Basketball 2.40, Kataja 1.48.
- Oct 2: Helsinki Seagulls 76, Lahti Basketball 70. Lost. Odds: Helsinki Seagulls 1.25, Lahti Basketball 3.50.
- Sep 19: Lahti Basketball 73, Kataja 77. Lost. Odds: Lahti Basketball 1.36, Kataja 2.97.
- Sep 15: Helsinki Seagulls 85, Lahti Basketball 80. Lost. Odds: Helsinki Seagulls 1.15, Lahti Basketball 4.40.
- Mar 18: Lahti Basketball 89, Bisons Loimaa 92. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 6: Kouvot Kouvola 80, Kipina 89. Lost. Odds: Kouvot Kouvola 2.14, Kipina 1.66.
- Oct 3: Honka 99, Kouvot Kouvola 91. Lost. Odds: Honka 1.24, Kouvot Kouvola 3.75.
- Sep 30: Kouvot Kouvola 74, Karhu Basket 77. Lost. Odds: Kouvot Kouvola 2.07, Karhu Basket 1.70.
- Sep 22: Kouvot Kouvola 85, UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 73. Won. Odds: Kouvot Kouvola 1.60, UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 2.10.
- Sep 16: Honka 84, Kouvot Kouvola 96. Won. Odds: Honka 1.41, Kouvot Kouvola 2.76.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Kouvot Kouvola coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 6.0 — Lahti Basketball −7.9 per 100 possessions, Kouvot Kouvola −1.9.
- 1-4 in the last five for Lahti Basketball.
- Even head-to-head, 2-2 over the last 4 meetings.
- 178.3 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 177.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LAH moneyline | 1.28 | moved up 1.35 |
| KOU moneyline | 3.35 | moved down 3.00 |
| Total points | 178.5 | moved down 177.5 |
| LAH spread | −6.5 | −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Korisliiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 760 | 667 | +93 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 778 | 701 | +77 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 824 | 786 | +38 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 696 | 633 | +63 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 630 | 657 | −27 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 694 | 697 | −3 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 644 | 689 | −45 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 690 | 692 | −2 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 668 | 682 | −14 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 692 | 726 | −34 | |
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 585 | 684 | −99 | |
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 702 | 749 | −47 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation - I Divisioona A
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Lahti Basketball host Kouvot Kouvola in the Korisliiga on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.