Kyoto vs Nagasaki prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 89%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 162 Margin NAG by 8 Win NAG 71% Actual 160 · KYO won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Kyoto vs Nagasaki
Last 11 and 15 games with full stats · all competitions
Kyoto at home, last 8 games · Nagasaki away, last 8
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Kyoto 2, Nagasaki 3.
- Average total 167.0 points per meeting
- Over 166.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting KYO by 25 Oct 4, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 4, 2026 B League Kyoto 90–65 Nagasaki 155 pts
- May 3, 2026 B League Nagasaki 63–84 Kyoto 147 pts
- May 2, 2026 B League Nagasaki 105–94 Kyoto 199 pts
- Mar 11, 2026 B League Kyoto 80–90 Nagasaki 170 pts
- Oct 29, 2025 B League Nagasaki 91–73 Kyoto 164 pts
Last five games
- Sep 27: Kyoto 77, Shiga 81. Lost. Odds: Kyoto 1.45, Shiga 2.55.
- Sep 25: Kyoto 95, Shiga 94. Won. Odds: Kyoto 1.42, Shiga 2.65.
- May 3: Nagasaki 63, Kyoto 84. Won. No odds on record.
- May 2: Nagasaki 105, Kyoto 94. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Kyoto 83, Osaka 92. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 25: Nagasaki 78, Shimane 85. Lost. Odds: Nagasaki 3.00, Shimane 1.32.
- Sep 23: Nagasaki 64, Shimane 89. Lost. Odds: Nagasaki 1.60, Shimane 2.15.
- May 26: Nagasaki 72, Ryukyu 64. Won. No odds on record.
- May 24: Nagasaki 66, Ryukyu 60. Won. No odds on record.
- May 23: Nagasaki 69, Ryukyu 71. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Kyoto dropped from 2.12 to 1.47 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 7 days off for Nagasaki, 5 for Kyoto.
- 1-4 away for Nagasaki this season.
- 6-2 at home for Kyoto this season.
- Over/under moved up from 164.5 to 166.5 since it was first published.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| KYO moneyline | 2.12 | moved down 1.47 |
| NAG moneyline | 1.65 | moved up 2.56 |
| Total points | 164.5 | moved up 166.5 |
| KYO spread | +2.5 | moved down −3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
B League standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Kyoto host Nagasaki in the B League on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.