Kretinga vs Ukmerges Stekas prediction
Kretinga
25
20
20
30
Ukmerges Stekas
19
22
27
31
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Kretinga9589Ukmerges Stekas9988Kretinga9589Ukmerges Stekas9988Total 177 Margin KRE by 1 Win KRE 52% Actual 194 · UKM won
Kretinga
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Ukmerges Stekas
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Kretinga vs Ukmerges Stekas
Kretinga
Ukmerges Stekas
Last 10 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Kretinga at home, last 5 games · Ukmerges Stekas away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Kretinga 2, Ukmerges Stekas 1.
- Average total 196.0 points per meeting
- Over 167.5 3 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting KRE by 4 Mar 14, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 14, 2026 NKL Ukmerges Stekas 103–107 OT Kretinga 210 pts · OT
- Jan 15, 2026 NKL Kretinga 113–79 Ukmerges Stekas 192 pts
- Nov 20, 2025 NKL Ukmerges Stekas 98–88 Kretinga 186 pts
Last five games
Kretinga
0-5 - Oct 8: Plunges Olimpas 98, Kretinga 85. Lost. Odds: Plunges Olimpas 1.60, Kretinga 2.15.
- Oct 3: Vilkaviskis 84, Kretinga 65. Lost. Odds: Vilkaviskis 1.33, Kretinga 2.95.
- Oct 1: Kretinga 76, Neptunas 2 91. Lost. Odds: Kretinga 2.10, Neptunas 2 1.62.
- Apr 10: Vytis VDU 90, Kretinga 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 8: Kretinga 69, Vytis VDU 75. Lost. No odds on record.
Ukmerges Stekas
1-4 - Oct 8: Ukmerges Stekas 108, Zalgiris Kaunas 2 87. Won. Odds: Ukmerges Stekas 2.72, Zalgiris Kaunas 2 1.38.
- Oct 3: Silute 80, Ukmerges Stekas 72. Lost. Odds: Silute 1.30, Ukmerges Stekas 3.25.
- Oct 1: Ukmerges Stekas 89, Vytis VDU 90. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Ukmerges Stekas 1.65, Vytis VDU 2.05.
- Mar 14: Ukmerges Stekas 103, Kretinga 107. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 12: Alytaus Alytus 101, Ukmerges Stekas 92. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Kretinga coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Ukmerges Stekas dropped from 3.15 to 1.75 since they were first published.
- 0-5 at home for Kretinga this season.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Kretinga.
- 1-4 in the last five for Ukmerges Stekas.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| KRE moneyline | 1.29 | moved up 1.93 |
| UKM moneyline | 3.15 | moved down 1.75 |
| Total points | 167.5 | 167.5 |
| KRE spread | −6.5 | moved up +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Telsiai |
10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 |
| 2 |  Jurbarkas |
9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 |
| 3 |  BC Olimpas Palanga |
10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 |
| 4 |  Neptunas 2 |
9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 |
| 5 |  Omega-Tauras |
10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 |
| 6 |  Silute |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 |
| 7 |  Plunges Olimpas |
10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 |
| 8 |  Suduva-Mantinga |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 |
| 9 |  Alytaus Patriotai |
10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 |
| 10 |  Vytis VDU |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 |
| 11 |  Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 |  Vilkaviskis |
9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 |
| 14 | Ukmerges Stekas |
9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 |
| 15 | Kretinga |
10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 |
| 16 |  Mazeikiai |
10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 |
| 17 |  Rytas 2 |
10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 |
| 18 |  Kauno Atletas |
9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Kretinga host Ukmerges Stekas in the NKL on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.