Kretinga vs Neptunas 2 prediction
Kretinga
21
21
17
17
Neptunas 2
19
31
27
14
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Kretinga7680Neptunas 29183Kretinga7680Neptunas 29183Total 163 Margin NEP by 3 Win NEP 59% Actual 167 · NEP won
Kretinga
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Neptunas 2
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Kretinga vs Neptunas 2
Kretinga
Neptunas 2
Last 10 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Kretinga at home, last 5 games · Neptunas 2 away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Kretinga 0, Neptunas 2 3.
- Average total 159.3 points per meeting
- Overtime 0 of 3 meetings went to overtime
- Last meeting NEP by 28 Feb 26, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 26, 2026 NKL Neptunas 2 86–58 Kretinga 144 pts
- Jan 31, 2026 NKL Kretinga 77–88 Neptunas 2 165 pts
- Oct 4, 2025 NKL Neptunas 2 98–71 Kretinga 169 pts
Last five games
Kretinga
2-3 - Apr 10: Vytis VDU 90, Kretinga 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 8: Kretinga 69, Vytis VDU 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 4: Vytis VDU 103, Kretinga 107. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 31: Kretinga 78, Vytis VDU 96. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 27: Vytis VDU 91, Kretinga 95. Won. No odds on record.
Neptunas 2
2-3 - May 9: Suduva-Mantinga 76, Neptunas 2 68. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 7: Neptunas 2 79, Suduva-Mantinga 71. Won. No odds on record.
- May 2: Suduva-Mantinga 67, Neptunas 2 65. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 30: Neptunas 2 69, Suduva-Mantinga 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 24: Suduva-Mantinga 68, Neptunas 2 73. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 0-5 at home for Kretinga this season.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Neptunas 2.
- Net rating difference of 14.3 — Kretinga −10.4 per 100 possessions, Neptunas 2 +3.9.
- 159.3 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 157.5.
- 15th vs 4th in the NKL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| KRE moneyline | 2.00 | moved up 2.10 |
| NEP moneyline | 1.70 | moved down 1.62 |
| Total points · regulation | 156.5 | moved up 157.5 |
| KRE spread · regulation | +2.5 | moved down +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Telsiai |
10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 |
| 2 |  Jurbarkas |
9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 |
| 3 |  BC Olimpas Palanga |
10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 |
| 4 | Neptunas 2 |
9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 |
| 5 |  Omega-Tauras |
10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 |
| 6 |  Silute |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 |
| 7 |  Plunges Olimpas |
10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 |
| 8 |  Suduva-Mantinga |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 |
| 9 |  Alytaus Patriotai |
10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 |
| 10 |  Vytis VDU |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 |
| 11 |  Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 |  Vilkaviskis |
9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 |
| 14 |  Ukmerges Stekas |
9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 |
| 15 | Kretinga |
10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 |
| 16 |  Mazeikiai |
10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 |
| 17 |  Rytas 2 |
10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 |
| 18 |  Kauno Atletas |
9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Kretinga host Neptunas 2 in the NKL on Thursday, October 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.