Kretinga vs Jurbarkas prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 59%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 169 Margin JUR by 11 Win JUR 77% Actual 165 · JUR won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Kretinga vs Jurbarkas
Last 10 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Kretinga at home, last 5 games · Jurbarkas away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Kretinga 0, Jurbarkas 3.
- Average total 155.7 points per meeting
- Over 167.5 0 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting JUR by 11 Mar 12, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 12, 2026 NKL Kretinga 77–88 Jurbarkas 165 pts
- Dec 18, 2025 NKL Jurbarkas 80–76 Kretinga 156 pts
- Oct 16, 2025 NKL Kretinga 65–81 Jurbarkas 146 pts
Last five games
- Oct 24: Kretinga 85, Zalgiris Kaunas 2 101. Lost. Odds: Kretinga 1.62, Zalgiris Kaunas 2 2.20.
- Oct 22: Alytaus Patriotai 90, Kretinga 70. Lost. Odds: Alytaus Patriotai 1.60, Kretinga 2.05.
- Oct 17: Kauno Atletas 72, Kretinga 84. Won. Odds: Kauno Atletas 2.65, Kretinga 1.43.
- Oct 15: Kretinga 83, Suduva-Mantinga 88. Lost. Odds: Kretinga 4.90, Suduva-Mantinga 1.13.
- Oct 10: Kretinga 95, Ukmerges Stekas 99. Lost. Odds: Kretinga 1.93, Ukmerges Stekas 1.75.
- Oct 22: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 79, Jurbarkas 93. Won. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 3.75, Jurbarkas 1.18.
- Oct 20: Jurbarkas 69, Nevezis 93. Lost. Odds: Jurbarkas 2.60, Nevezis 1.36.
- Oct 17: Jurbarkas 81, Kedainiai BC 72. Won. Odds: Jurbarkas 1.20, Kedainiai BC 4.20.
- Oct 15: Rytas 2 72, Jurbarkas 84. Won. Odds: Rytas 2 5.30, Jurbarkas 1.11.
- Oct 10: Mazeikiai 62, Jurbarkas 91. Won. Odds: Mazeikiai 2.95, Jurbarkas 1.33.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Jurbarkas dropped from 1.38 to 1.14 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Jurbarkas, 4 for Kretinga.
- 0-5 at home for Kretinga this season.
- 5-0 away for Jurbarkas this season.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Jurbarkas.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| KRE moneyline | 2.85 | moved up 4.10 |
| JUR moneyline | 1.38 | moved down 1.14 |
| Total points | 167.5 | 167.5 |
| KRE spread | +6.5 | moved up +9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 | |
| 6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 | |
| 7 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 | |
| 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 | |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 | |
| 17 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Kretinga host Jurbarkas in the NKL on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.