Kouvot Kouvola vs Kataja prediction
Kouvot Kouvola
23
27
19
26
Kataja
15
23
24
14
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Kouvot Kouvola9588Kataja7687Kouvot Kouvola9588Kataja7687Total 175 Margin KOU by 1 Win KOU 52% Actual 171 · KOU won
Kouvot Kouvola
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Kataja
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Kouvot Kouvola vs Kataja
Kouvot Kouvola
Kataja
Last 10 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Kouvot Kouvola at home, last 6 games · Kataja away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Kouvot Kouvola 2, Kataja 2.
- Average total 194.5 points per meeting
- Over 176.5 3 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting KAT by 24 Mar 10, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 10, 2026 Korisliiga Kataja 112–88 Kouvot Kouvola 200 pts
- Feb 8, 2026 Korisliiga Kouvot Kouvola 85–79 Kataja 164 pts
- Dec 9, 2025 Korisliiga Kouvot Kouvola 90–108 Kataja 198 pts
- Oct 8, 2025 Korisliiga Kataja 107–109 OT Kouvot Kouvola 216 pts · OT
Last five games
Kouvot Kouvola
1-4 - Oct 14: Lahti Basketball 91, Kouvot Kouvola 83. Lost. Odds: Lahti Basketball 1.35, Kouvot Kouvola 3.00.
- Oct 6: Kouvot Kouvola 80, Kipina 89. Lost. Odds: Kouvot Kouvola 2.14, Kipina 1.66.
- Oct 3: Honka 99, Kouvot Kouvola 91. Lost. Odds: Honka 1.24, Kouvot Kouvola 3.75.
- Sep 30: Kouvot Kouvola 74, Karhu Basket 77. Lost. Odds: Kouvot Kouvola 2.07, Karhu Basket 1.70.
- Sep 22: Kouvot Kouvola 85, UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 73. Won. Odds: Kouvot Kouvola 1.60, UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 2.10.
Kataja
3-2 - Oct 10: Kataja 99, Honka 108. Lost. Odds: Kataja 1.24, Honka 2.82.
- Oct 7: Lahti Basketball 91, Kataja 85. Lost. Odds: Lahti Basketball 2.40, Kataja 1.48.
- Oct 3: Bisons Loimaa 71, Kataja 86. Won. Odds: Bisons Loimaa 2.39, Kataja 1.53.
- Sep 29: Kataja 102, Helsinki Seagulls 83. Won. Odds: Kataja 1.99, Helsinki Seagulls 1.77.
- Sep 19: Lahti Basketball 73, Kataja 77. Won. Odds: Lahti Basketball 1.36, Kataja 2.97.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Kouvot Kouvola coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Kouvot Kouvola dropped from 3.60 to 2.57 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Kataja, 1 for Kouvot Kouvola.
- Even head-to-head, 2-2 over the last 4 meetings.
- 194.5 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 176.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| KOU moneyline | 3.60 | moved down 2.57 |
| KAT moneyline | 1.25 | moved up 1.30 |
| Total points | 175.5 | moved up 176.5 |
| KOU spread | +7.5 | moved down +6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Korisliiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KTP Kotka Basket |
8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 760 | 667 | +93 |
| 2 |  Kipina |
8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 778 | 701 | +77 |
| 3 |  Honka |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 824 | 786 | +38 |
| 4 |  Salon Vilpas |
8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 696 | 633 | +63 |
| 5 |  Helsinki Seagulls |
8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 630 | 657 | −27 |
| 6 |  Pyrinto Tampere |
8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 694 | 697 | −3 |
| 7 |  Lahti Basketball |
8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 644 | 689 | −45 |
| 8 | Kataja |
8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 690 | 692 | −2 |
| 9 |  Karhu Basket |
8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 668 | 682 | −14 |
| 10 | Kouvot Kouvola |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 692 | 726 | −34 |
| 11 |  Bisons Loimaa |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 585 | 684 | −99 |
| 12 |  UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 702 | 749 | −47 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation - I Divisioona A
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Kouvot Kouvola host Kataja in the Korisliiga on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.