KK Krka Novo mesto vs FMP Beograd Prediction & Odds

ABA League Sunday, October 11, 2026Sun, Oct 11 Start12:00ET Round 3

KK Krka Novo mestoHome · 0-5 · 10th · 1.94

6817211020

FMP BeogradAway · 2-3 · 8th · 1.82

7921241915

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

KK Krka Novo mesto 17 21 10 20

FMP Beograd 21 24 19 15

FT SD Leona StukljaSD Leona Stuklja · Round 3

Best tip of the game

Total points Won

U169.5 1.31 69%

Under 169.5 points edge −2.5%

Best tip of the game Total points · Won U169.5 1.31 Under 169.5 points Confidence69% model 68.8% · market 71.3% edge −2.5%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 67%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.94 68.1% 49.3% +18.8% 62% Lost

Total points U169.5 1.31 68.8% 71.3% −2.5% 69% Won

Point spread KKN +5.5 1.47 78.8% 65.1% +13.7% 71% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

KK Krka Novo mesto6883

FMP Beograd7976

Total 159 actual 147

Winning margin KKN by 7 actual BEO by 11

Chance to win KKN 68% BEO won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

KK Krka Novo mesto6883

FMP Beograd7976

Total 159 Margin KKN by 7 Win KKN 68% Actual 147 · BEO won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 5+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

KK Krka Novo mesto large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction FMP Beograd

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

KK Krka Novo mesto vs FMP Beograd

KK Krka Novo mesto FMP Beograd

Last 12 and 5 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

KK Krka Novo mesto 4-1

Oct 7: Perspektiva Ilirija 82, KK Krka Novo mesto 83. Won. Odds: Perspektiva Ilirija 1.87, KK Krka Novo mesto 1.80.
Oct 2: KK Krka Novo mesto 72, Buducnost 77. Lost. Odds: KK Krka Novo mesto 3.40, Buducnost 1.26.
Sep 29: KK Krka Novo mesto 77, Zlatorog Lasko 61. Won. Odds: KK Krka Novo mesto –, Zlatorog Lasko 15.00.
Sep 22: KK Krka Novo mesto 87, Tajfun Sentjur 55. Won. Odds: KK Krka Novo mesto 1.02, Tajfun Sentjur 9.00.
Sep 17: Cedevita Olimpija 67, KK Krka Novo mesto 71. Won. Odds: Cedevita Olimpija 1.30, KK Krka Novo mesto 2.94.

FMP Beograd 1-4

Oct 7: FMP Beograd 76, Lokomotiv Kuban 90. Lost. Odds: FMP Beograd 1.80, Lokomotiv Kuban 2.05.
Oct 4: FMP Beograd 90, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 89. Won. Odds: FMP Beograd 4.76, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 1.17.
Apr 25: FMP Beograd 82, Perspektiva Ilirija 88. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 20: FMP Beograd 84, Vienna Basket 92. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 14: Zadar 76, FMP Beograd 65. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
KKN moneyline	1.79	moved up 1.94
BEO moneyline	1.92	moved down 1.82
Total points	159.5	159.5
KKN spread	−1.5	moved up +1.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

ABA League standings

Regular Season · Group A

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Buducnost	5	4	1	9	450	396	+54
2	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet	5	4	1	9	468	421	+47
3	Cedevita Olimpija	5	3	2	8	428	409	+19
4	Slovan Bratislava	5	3	2	8	413	416	−3
5	Siroki Brijeg	5	3	2	8	408	414	−6
6	Borac Mozzart	5	3	2	8	437	456	−19
7	Igokea	5	2	3	7	430	426	+4
8	FMP Beograd	5	2	3	7	409	426	−17
9	Cibona	5	1	4	6	420	447	−27
10	KK Krka Novo mesto	5	0	5	5	366	418	−52

Winners stage
Losers stage

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

KK Krka Novo mesto host FMP Beograd in the ABA League on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.