Kipas Istiklal vs Mersin SK prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 163 Margin KIP by 7 Win KIP 68% Actual 158 · MER won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Kipas Istiklal vs Mersin SK
Last 8 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Kipas Istiklal at home, last 4 games · Mersin SK away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 17: Harem Spor 69, Kipas Istiklal 74. Won. Odds: Harem Spor 1.34, Kipas Istiklal 3.00.
- Oct 10: Kipas Istiklal 114, CO Basket 82. Won. Odds: Kipas Istiklal 1.04, CO Basket 8.50.
- Oct 7: Final Spor 78, Kipas Istiklal 91. Won. Odds: Final Spor 2.25, Kipas Istiklal 1.55.
- Oct 3: Kipas Istiklal 85, Kecioren Baglum 72. Won. Odds: Kipas Istiklal 1.22, Kecioren Baglum 3.70.
- Sep 27: Balikesir 69, Kipas Istiklal 79. Won. Odds: Balikesir 2.52, Kipas Istiklal 1.46.
- Oct 18: Mersin SK 95, Darussafaka 82. Won. Odds: Mersin SK 1.02, Darussafaka 7.40.
- Oct 11: Fenerbahce 2 77, Mersin SK 85. Won. Odds: Fenerbahce 2 4.15, Mersin SK 1.18.
- Oct 8: Mersin SK 92, Gaziantep 70. Won. Odds: Mersin SK 1.44, Gaziantep 2.55.
- Oct 4: iLab Basketbol 78, Mersin SK 81. Won. Odds: iLab Basketbol 2.52, Mersin SK 1.45.
- Sep 26: Mersin SK 87, Konya BBSK 82. Won. Odds: Mersin SK 1.21, Konya BBSK 3.85.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 6-game winning streak for Kipas Istiklal coming into this game.
- 6-game winning streak for Mersin SK coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Kipas Istiklal dropped from 1.88 to 1.70 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 6.5 — Kipas Istiklal +11.6 per 100 possessions, Mersin SK +18.1.
- +9.8 points at home — Kipas Istiklal averaged 88.8 at home and 79.0 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| KIP moneyline | 1.88 | moved down 1.70 |
| MER moneyline | 1.76 | moved up 1.98 |
| Total points | 162.5 | 162.5 |
| KIP spread | +1.5 | moved down −2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
TBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 749 | 670 | +79 | |
| 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 725 | 597 | +128 | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 724 | 605 | +119 | |
| 4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 687 | 618 | +69 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 721 | 714 | +7 | |
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 629 | 613 | +16 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 670 | 736 | −66 | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 643 | 631 | +12 | |
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 674 | 664 | +10 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 684 | 751 | −67 | |
| 11 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 680 | 690 | −10 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 682 | 730 | −48 | |
| 13 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 583 | 630 | −47 | |
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 659 | 705 | −46 | |
| 15 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 635 | 726 | −91 | |
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 648 | 671 | −23 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 745 | 787 | −42 |
- Super Lig
- Playoffs
- Play-in
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Kipas Istiklal host Mersin SK in the TBL on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.