Kipas Istiklal vs Kecioren Baglum prediction
Kipas Istiklal
27
17
20
21
Kecioren Baglum
17
16
18
21
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 54%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Kipas Istiklal8582Kecioren Baglum7280Kipas Istiklal8582Kecioren Baglum7280Total 162 Margin KIP by 2 Win KIP 55% Actual 157 · KIP won
Kipas Istiklal
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Kecioren Baglum
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Kipas Istiklal vs Kecioren Baglum
Kipas Istiklal
Kecioren Baglum
Last 8 games each with full stats · all competitions
Kipas Istiklal at home, last 4 games · Kecioren Baglum away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Kipas Istiklal
2-3 - Sep 27: Balikesir 69, Kipas Istiklal 79. Won. Odds: Balikesir 2.52, Kipas Istiklal 1.46.
- Sep 19: Kipas Istiklal 83, Ankara Kolejliler 72. Won. Odds: Kipas Istiklal 1.60, Ankara Kolejliler 2.15.
- Sep 12: Goztepe 73, Kipas Istiklal 72. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 6: Gaziantep 90, Kipas Istiklal 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 3: Kipas Istiklal 64, Gaziantep 74. Lost. No odds on record.
Kecioren Baglum
2-3 - Sep 26: Kecioren Baglum 83, Darussafaka 91. Lost. Odds: Kecioren Baglum 1.26, Darussafaka 3.40.
- Sep 20: Fenerbahce 2 86, Kecioren Baglum 84. Lost. Odds: Fenerbahce 2 1.60, Kecioren Baglum 2.15.
- Sep 12: Kecioren Baglum 82, Gaziantep 68. Won. No odds on record.
- May 2: Kecioren Baglum 85, Sakarya BB 88. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 22: Kecioren Baglum 75, Akhisar Belediye 66. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved up from 161.5 to 164.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 19.2 — Kipas Istiklal +11.6 per 100 possessions, Kecioren Baglum −7.6.
- +9.8 points at home — Kipas Istiklal averaged 88.8 at home and 79.0 away this season.
- 1st vs 17th in the TBL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| KIP moneyline | 1.25 | moved down 1.22 |
| KEC moneyline | 3.40 | moved up 3.70 |
| Total points | 161.5 | moved up 164.5 |
| KIP spread | −7.5 | moved down −8.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
TBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kipas Istiklal |
9 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 749 | 670 | +79 |
| 2 |  Mersin SK |
8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 725 | 597 | +128 |
| 3 |  Yalova Harem Spor |
9 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 724 | 605 | +119 |
| 4 |  Goztepe |
8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 687 | 618 | +69 |
| 5 |  Final Spor |
9 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 721 | 714 | +7 |
| 6 |  Gaziantep |
8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 629 | 613 | +16 |
| 7 |  CO Basket |
9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 670 | 736 | −66 |
| 8 |  Buyukcekmece |
8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 643 | 631 | +12 |
| 9 |  OGM Ormanspor |
8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 674 | 664 | +10 |
| 10 |  Darussafaka |
9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 684 | 751 | −67 |
| 11 |  iLab Basketbol |
8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 680 | 690 | −10 |
| 12 |  Ankara Kolejliler |
9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 682 | 730 | −48 |
| 13 |  Fenerbahce 2 |
8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 583 | 630 | −47 |
| 14 |  Balikesir |
9 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 659 | 705 | −46 |
| 15 |  MKE Ankaragucu |
8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 635 | 726 | −91 |
| 16 |  Konya BBSK |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 648 | 671 | −23 |
| 17 | Kecioren Baglum |
9 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 745 | 787 | −42 |
- Super Lig
- Playoffs
- Play-in
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Kipas Istiklal host Kecioren Baglum in the TBL on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.