Keflavik vs Stjarnan Prediction & Odds — Oct 27

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Premier League Women Tuesday, October 27, 2026Tue, Oct 27 Start15:15ET Round 5

KeflavikHome · 1-4 · 8th · 1.60

7221131622

StjarnanAway · 4-1 · 3rd · 2.05

9225232321

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Keflavik 21 13 16 22

Stjarnan 25 23 23 21

FT Blue-hollin · IcelandBlue-hollin · Round 5

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Lost

1 1.60 62%

Keflavik to win edge −7.7%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Lost 1 1.60 Keflavik to win Confidence62% model 55.9% · market 63.6% edge −7.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.60 55.9% 63.6% −7.7% 62% Lost

Total points O162.5 1.83 56.6% 49.6% +7.0% 54% Won

Point spread STJ +4.5 1.78 54.4% 50.7% +3.7% 59% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Keflavik7284

Stjarnan9282

Total 166 actual 164

Winning margin KEF by 2 actual STJ by 20

Chance to win KEF 56% STJ won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Keflavik7284

Stjarnan9282

Total 166 Margin KEF by 2 Win KEF 56% Actual 164 · STJ won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 20+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Keflavik large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Stjarnan

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Keflavik vs Stjarnan

Keflavik Stjarnan

Last 5 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Keflavik 1-4

Oct 21: Grindavik 89, Keflavik 75. Lost. Odds: Grindavik 1.10, Keflavik 4.70.
Oct 12: Keflavik 98, Fjolnir 61. Won. Odds: Keflavik 1.01, Fjolnir 12.50.
Oct 7: Njardvik 83, Keflavik 79. Lost. Odds: Njardvik 1.22, Keflavik 3.70.
Sep 29: Tindastoll 73, Keflavik 58. Lost. Odds: Tindastoll 1.50, Keflavik 2.37.
May 2: Keflavik 72, Haukar 98. Lost. No odds on record.

Stjarnan 3-2

Oct 20: Stjarnan 93, Tindastoll 80. Won. Odds: Stjarnan 1.53, Tindastoll 2.15.
Oct 12: Haukar 70, Stjarnan 76. Won. Odds: Haukar 1.21, Stjarnan 3.80.
Oct 6: Stjarnan 80, Armann 62. Won. Odds: Stjarnan 1.13, Armann 4.90.
Sep 29: KR Reykjavik 94, Stjarnan 87. Lost. Odds: KR Reykjavik 1.25, Stjarnan 3.50.
Apr 8: Haukar 88, Stjarnan 84. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
KEF moneyline	1.40	moved up 1.60
STJ moneyline	2.60	moved down 2.05
Total points	162.5	moved down 161.5
KEF spread	−4.5	moved up −2.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Premier League Women standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Grindavik	5	5	0	1.000	457	343	+114
2	Njardvik	5	4	1	.800	457	389	+68
3	Stjarnan	5	4	1	.800	428	378	+50
4	Haukar	5	3	2	.600	423	374	+49
5	KR Reykjavik	5	3	2	.600	444	455	−11
6	Valur	5	3	2	.600	391	361	+30
7	Tindastoll	5	2	3	.400	361	374	−13
8	Keflavik	5	1	4	.200	382	398	−16
9	Armann	5	0	5	.000	375	462	−87
10	Athena	0	0	0	.000	—	—	0
10	Fjolnir	5	0	5	.000	318	502	−184

Winners stage
Losers stage

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Keflavik host Stjarnan in the Premier League Women on Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.