Keflavik vs Hottur Prediction & Odds

Premier league Thursday, October 29, 2026Thu, Oct 29 Start15:15ET Round 4

KeflavikHome · 3-1 · 5th · 1.14

11235251834

HotturAway · 2-2 · 7th · 4.90

9928291725

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Keflavik 35 25 18 34

Hottur 28 29 17 25

FT Blue-hollin · IcelandBlue-hollin · Round 4

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.14 65%

Keflavik to win edge −12.3%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.14 Keflavik to win Confidence65% model 62.4% · market 74.7% edge −12.3%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.14 62.4% 74.7% −12.3% 65% Won

Total points U194.5 1.88 54.0% 50.7% +3.3% 55% Lost

Point spread HOT +9.5 1.83 54.0% 49.9% +4.1% 55% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Keflavik11299

Hottur9993

Total 192 actual 211

Winning margin KEF by 6 actual KEF by 13

Chance to win KEF 62% KEF won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Keflavik11299

Hottur9993

Total 192 Margin KEF by 6 Win KEF 62% Actual 211 · KEF won

Last five games

Keflavik 3-2

Oct 23: Alftanes 130, Keflavik 110. Lost. Odds: Alftanes 1.12, Keflavik 4.25.
Oct 15: Keflavik 106, Sindri 90. Won. Odds: Keflavik 1.12, Sindri 5.40.
Oct 8: Armann 90, Keflavik 108. Won. Odds: Armann 4.30, Keflavik 1.18.
Apr 19: Valur 90, Keflavik 76. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 15: Keflavik 88, Valur 81. Won. No odds on record.

Hottur 2-1

Oct 22: Hottur 108, IR Reykjavik 96. Won. Odds: Hottur 1.42, IR Reykjavik 2.45.
Oct 16: Stjarnan 98, Hottur 103. Won. Odds: Stjarnan 1.20, Hottur 4.00.
Oct 8: Alftanes 114, Hottur 77. Lost. Odds: Alftanes 1.04, Hottur 8.25.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
KEF moneyline	1.20	moved down 1.14
HOT moneyline	3.55	moved up 4.90
Total points	194.5	moved up 195.5
KEF spread	−9.5	−9.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Premier league standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Alftanes	4	4	0	8	468	380	+88
2	KR Basket	4	4	0	8	390	329	+61
3	Valur	4	4	0	8	351	320	+31
4	Tindastoll	4	3	1	7	377	342	+35
5	Keflavik	4	3	1	7	436	409	+27
6	Grindavik	4	2	2	6	356	367	−11
7	Hottur	4	2	2	6	387	417	−30
8	Stjarnan	4	1	3	5	369	387	−18
9	IR Reykjavik	4	1	3	5	377	420	−43
10	Njardvik	4	0	4	4	338	366	−28
11	Sindri	4	0	4	4	354	388	−34
12	Armann	4	0	4	4	334	412	−78

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Keflavik host Hottur in the Premier league on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

Keflavik vs Hottur prediction

All predictions