Keflavik vs Fjolnir Prediction & Odds

Premier League Women Monday, October 12, 2026Mon, Oct 12 Start15:15ET Round 3

KeflavikHome · 1-4 · 8th · 1.01

9824242525

FjolnirAway · 0-5 · 10th · 12.50

6116141318

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Keflavik 24 24 25 25

Fjolnir 16 14 13 18

FT Blue-hollin · IcelandBlue-hollin · Round 3

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.01 85%

Keflavik to win edge −18.5%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.01 Keflavik to win Confidence85% model 70.4% · market 88.9% edge −18.5%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.01 70.4% 88.9% −18.5% 85% Won

Total points O158.5 1.82 74.1% 50.0% +24.1% 56% Won

Point spread FJO +27.5 1.78 72.9% 51.0% +21.9% 71% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Keflavik9887

Fjolnir6180

Total 167 actual 159

Winning margin KEF by 7 actual KEF by 37

Chance to win KEF 65% KEF won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Keflavik9887

Fjolnir6180

Total 167 Margin KEF by 7 Win KEF 65% Actual 159 · KEF won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 7+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Keflavik large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Fjolnir

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Other

Shooting

Keflavik vs Fjolnir

Keflavik Fjolnir

Last 5 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Keflavik 1-4

Oct 7: Njardvik 83, Keflavik 79. Lost. Odds: Njardvik 1.22, Keflavik 3.70.
Sep 29: Tindastoll 73, Keflavik 58. Lost. Odds: Tindastoll 1.50, Keflavik 2.37.
May 2: Keflavik 72, Haukar 98. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 28: Haukar 86, Keflavik 72. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 24: Keflavik 98, Haukar 81. Won. No odds on record.

Fjolnir 0-5

Oct 7: Fjolnir 67, Tindastoll 101. Lost. Odds: Fjolnir 13.00, Tindastoll 1.01.
Sep 30: Haukar 96, Fjolnir 65. Lost. Odds: Haukar 1.02, Fjolnir 9.75.
Apr 18: Hamar 98, Fjolnir 89. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 14: Fjolnir 77, Hamar 79. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 10: Hamar 107, Fjolnir 83. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
KEF moneyline	1.03	moved down 1.01
FJO moneyline	8.25	moved up 12.50
Total points	158.5	moved up 159.5
KEF spread	−27.5	moved down −31.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Premier League Women standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Grindavik	5	5	0	1.000	457	343	+114
2	Njardvik	5	4	1	.800	457	389	+68
3	Stjarnan	5	4	1	.800	428	378	+50
4	Haukar	5	3	2	.600	423	374	+49
5	KR Reykjavik	5	3	2	.600	444	455	−11
6	Valur	5	3	2	.600	391	361	+30
7	Tindastoll	5	2	3	.400	361	374	−13
8	Keflavik	5	1	4	.200	382	398	−16
9	Armann	5	0	5	.000	375	462	−87
10	Athena	0	0	0	.000	—	—	0
10	Fjolnir	5	0	5	.000	318	502	−184

Winners stage
Losers stage

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Keflavik host Fjolnir in the Premier League Women on Monday, October 12, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

Keflavik vs Fjolnir prediction