Kedainiai BC vs Ukmerges Stekas prediction

All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 51%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 164 Margin KED by 4 Win KED 60% Actual 173 · KED won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Kedainiai BC vs Ukmerges Stekas
Last 10 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Kedainiai BC at home, last 5 games · Ukmerges Stekas away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 24: Plunges Olimpas 62, Kedainiai BC 75. Won. Odds: Plunges Olimpas 1.95, Kedainiai BC 1.74.
- Oct 22: Kedainiai BC 83, Rytas 2 69. Won. Odds: Kedainiai BC 1.22, Rytas 2 3.35.
- Oct 17: Jurbarkas 81, Kedainiai BC 72. Lost. Odds: Jurbarkas 1.20, Kedainiai BC 4.20.
- Oct 15: Kedainiai BC 92, Mazeikiai 85. Won. Odds: Kedainiai BC 1.80, Mazeikiai 1.87.
- Oct 10: Kedainiai BC 61, Telsiai 73. Lost. Odds: Kedainiai BC 2.57, Telsiai 1.42.
- Oct 24: Ukmerges Stekas 74, Mazeikiai 70. Won. Odds: Ukmerges Stekas 2.25, Mazeikiai 1.57.
- Oct 22: Telsiai 104, Ukmerges Stekas 70. Lost. Odds: Telsiai 1.10, Ukmerges Stekas 4.55.
- Oct 17: Ukmerges Stekas 76, BC Olimpas Palanga 107. Lost. Odds: Ukmerges Stekas 2.75, BC Olimpas Palanga 1.40.
- Oct 15: Ukmerges Stekas 73, Omega-Tauras 87. Lost. Odds: Ukmerges Stekas 1.91, Omega-Tauras 1.75.
- Oct 10: Kretinga 95, Ukmerges Stekas 99. Won. Odds: Kretinga 1.93, Ukmerges Stekas 1.75.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Ukmerges Stekas dropped from 2.10 to 1.65 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 7.8 — Kedainiai BC −4.8 per 100 possessions, Ukmerges Stekas −12.6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| KED moneyline | 1.66 | moved up 2.02 |
| UKM moneyline | 2.10 | moved down 1.65 |
| Total points | 165.5 | moved down 164.5 |
| KED spread | −2.5 | moved up −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 | |
| 6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 | |
| 7 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 | |
| 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 | |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 | |
| 17 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Kedainiai BC host Ukmerges Stekas in the NKL on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.
