Kauno Atletas vs Vilkaviskis prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 54%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 168 Margin KAU by 2 Win KAU 53% Actual 160 · VIL won
Kauno Atletas vs Vilkaviskis
Last 9 games each with full stats · all competitions
Kauno Atletas at home, last 4 games · Vilkaviskis away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 3: Kauno Atletas 78, Jurbarkas 102. Lost. Odds: Kauno Atletas 7.00, Jurbarkas 1.08.
- Oct 3: Vilkaviskis 84, Kretinga 65. Won. Odds: Vilkaviskis 1.33, Kretinga 2.95.
- Oct 1: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 107, Vilkaviskis 104. Lost. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 1.91, Vilkaviskis 1.70.
- Apr 28: Vytis VDU 86, Vilkaviskis 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Vilkaviskis 78, Vytis VDU 87. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 23: Vytis VDU 101, Vilkaviskis 91. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 1-4 away for Vilkaviskis this season.
- Net rating difference of 19.1 — Kauno Atletas −24.4 per 100 possessions, Vilkaviskis −5.3.
- 1-4 in the last five for Vilkaviskis.
- 18th vs 13th in the NKL standings.
- Different pace — Kauno Atletas averaged 81.6 possessions per game, Vilkaviskis 75.7.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| KAU moneyline | 4.44 | moved down 4.05 |
| VIL moneyline | 1.11 | moved up 1.19 |
| Total points | 164.5 | 164.5 |
| KAU spread | +11.5 | moved up +14.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 | |
| 6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 | |
| 7 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 | |
| 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 | |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 | |
| 17 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Kauno Atletas host Vilkaviskis in the NKL on Thursday, October 8, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.