Kauno Atletas vs Mazeikiai prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 162 Win MAZ 52% Actual 185 · MAZ won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Kauno Atletas vs Mazeikiai
Last 9 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Kauno Atletas at home, last 4 games · Mazeikiai away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 29: Telsiai 100, Kauno Atletas 76. Lost. Odds: Telsiai 1.01, Kauno Atletas 7.90.
- Oct 27: Suduva-Mantinga 113, Kauno Atletas 63. Lost. Odds: Suduva-Mantinga 1.01, Kauno Atletas 8.25.
- Oct 22: Vytis VDU 97, Kauno Atletas 85. Lost. Odds: Vytis VDU 1.04, Kauno Atletas 6.20.
- Oct 17: Kauno Atletas 72, Kretinga 84. Lost. Odds: Kauno Atletas 2.65, Kretinga 1.43.
- Oct 15: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 107, Kauno Atletas 83. Lost. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 1.06, Kauno Atletas 8.00.
- Oct 29: Mazeikiai 85, Suduva-Mantinga 109. Lost. Odds: Mazeikiai 5.10, Suduva-Mantinga 1.08.
- Oct 24: Ukmerges Stekas 74, Mazeikiai 70. Lost. Odds: Ukmerges Stekas 2.25, Mazeikiai 1.57.
- Oct 22: Mazeikiai 72, Plunges Olimpas 80. Lost. Odds: Mazeikiai 2.00, Plunges Olimpas 1.65.
- Oct 17: Mazeikiai 77, Neptunas 2 90. Lost. Odds: Mazeikiai 1.95, Neptunas 2 1.74.
- Oct 15: Kedainiai BC 92, Mazeikiai 85. Lost. Odds: Kedainiai BC 1.80, Mazeikiai 1.87.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 8-game losing streak for Kauno Atletas coming into this game.
- 7-game losing streak for Mazeikiai coming into this game.
- 1-4 away for Mazeikiai this season.
- Net rating difference of 11.7 — Kauno Atletas −24.4 per 100 possessions, Mazeikiai −12.7.
- 18th vs 16th in the NKL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| KAU moneyline | 3.15 | moved down 2.95 |
| MAZ moneyline | 1.32 | moved down 1.28 |
| Total points | 167.5 | 167.5 |
| KAU spread | +6.5 | moved up +7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 | |
| 6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 | |
| 7 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 | |
| 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 | |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 | |
| 17 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Kauno Atletas host Mazeikiai in the NKL on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.