Kauno Atletas vs Kretinga Prediction & Odds

NKL Saturday, October 17, 2026Sat, Oct 17 Start09:00ET Round 6

Kauno AtletasHome · 0-9 · 18th · 2.65

7216231023

KretingaAway · 2-8 · 15th · 1.43

8423241720

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Kauno Atletas 16 23 10 23

Kretinga 23 24 17 20

FT Kauno r. Garliavos sporto centras · LithuaniaKauno r. Garliavos sporto centras · Round 6

Best tip of the game

Point spread Lost

KAU +5.5 1.84 71%

Kauno Atletas +5.5 on the spread edge +16.7%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Lost KAU +5.5 1.84 Kauno Atletas +5.5 on the spread Confidence71% model 66.3% · market 49.6% edge +16.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 2.65 41.8% 33.1% +8.7% 51% Lost

Total points U172.5 1.84 50.6% 49.6% +1.0% 51% Won

Point spread KAU +5.5 1.84 66.3% 49.6% +16.7% 71% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Kauno Atletas7286

Kretinga8486

Total 172 actual 156

Winning margin — actual KRE by 12

Chance to win KAU 52% KRE won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Kauno Atletas7286

Kretinga8486

Total 172 Win KAU 52% Actual 156 · KRE won

Last five games

Kauno Atletas 0-4

Oct 15: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 107, Kauno Atletas 83. Lost. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 1.06, Kauno Atletas 8.00.
Oct 10: Alytaus Patriotai 86, Kauno Atletas 75. Lost. Odds: Alytaus Patriotai 1.50, Kauno Atletas 2.37.
Oct 8: Kauno Atletas 76, Vilkaviskis 84. Lost. Odds: Kauno Atletas 4.05, Vilkaviskis 1.19.
Oct 3: Kauno Atletas 78, Jurbarkas 102. Lost. Odds: Kauno Atletas 7.00, Jurbarkas 1.08.

Kretinga 0-5

Oct 15: Kretinga 83, Suduva-Mantinga 88. Lost. Odds: Kretinga 4.90, Suduva-Mantinga 1.13.
Oct 10: Kretinga 95, Ukmerges Stekas 99. Lost. Odds: Kretinga 1.93, Ukmerges Stekas 1.75.
Oct 8: Plunges Olimpas 98, Kretinga 85. Lost. Odds: Plunges Olimpas 1.60, Kretinga 2.15.
Oct 3: Vilkaviskis 84, Kretinga 65. Lost. Odds: Vilkaviskis 1.33, Kretinga 2.95.
Oct 1: Kretinga 76, Neptunas 2 91. Lost. Odds: Kretinga 2.10, Neptunas 2 1.62.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
KAU moneyline	2.77	moved down 2.65
KRE moneyline	1.37	moved up 1.43
Total points	172.5	172.5
KAU spread	+5.5	moved up +6.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

NKL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Telsiai	10	10	0	20	882	725	+157
2	Jurbarkas	9	8	1	17	793	667	+126
3	BC Olimpas Palanga	10	8	2	18	930	806	+124
4	Neptunas 2	9	6	3	15	693	668	+25
5	Omega-Tauras	10	6	4	16	870	824	+46
6	Silute	8	6	2	14	667	619	+48
7	Plunges Olimpas	10	6	4	16	814	781	+33
8	Suduva-Mantinga	8	6	2	14	752	627	+125
9	Alytaus Patriotai	10	5	5	15	861	882	−21
10	Vytis VDU	7	4	3	11	658	648	+10
11	Zalgiris Kaunas 2	10	4	6	14	957	971	−14
12	Kedainiai BC	10	4	6	14	768	838	−70
13	Vilkaviskis	9	4	5	13	733	762	−29
14	Ukmerges Stekas	9	3	6	12	737	817	−80
15	Kretinga	10	2	8	12	797	881	−84
16	Mazeikiai	10	2	8	12	765	865	−100
17	Rytas 2	10	0	10	10	751	873	−122
18	Kauno Atletas	9	0	9	9	696	870	−174

Winners stage
Losers stage

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Kauno Atletas host Kretinga in the NKL on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

Kauno Atletas vs Kretinga prediction

All predictions