Kataja vs Karhu Basket prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 170 Margin KAR by 4 Win KAR 61% Actual 181 · KAT won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Kataja vs Karhu Basket
Last 9 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Kataja at home, last 4 games · Karhu Basket away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Kataja 5, Karhu Basket 0.
- Average total 156.8 points per meeting
- Over 166.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting KAT by 21 Apr 2, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 2, 2026 Korisliiga Kataja 92–71 Karhu Basket 163 pts
- Mar 30, 2026 Korisliiga Karhu Basket 78–94 Kataja 172 pts
- Mar 27, 2026 Korisliiga Kataja 85–60 Karhu Basket 145 pts
- Mar 24, 2026 Korisliiga Karhu Basket 68–98 Kataja 166 pts
- Jan 21, 2026 Korisliiga Kataja 76–62 Karhu Basket 138 pts
Last five games
- Oct 24: Kataja 79, Pyrinto Tampere 84. Lost. Odds: Kataja 1.65, Pyrinto Tampere 2.05.
- Oct 21: Pyrinto Tampere 80, Kataja 62. Lost. Odds: Pyrinto Tampere 1.80, Kataja 1.65.
- Oct 16: Kouvot Kouvola 95, Kataja 76. Lost. Odds: Kouvot Kouvola 2.57, Kataja 1.30.
- Oct 10: Kataja 99, Honka 108. Lost. Odds: Kataja 1.24, Honka 2.82.
- Oct 7: Lahti Basketball 91, Kataja 85. Lost. Odds: Lahti Basketball 2.40, Kataja 1.48.
- Oct 23: Karhu Basket 73, Lahti Basketball 68. Won. Odds: Karhu Basket 1.33, Lahti Basketball 2.95.
- Oct 21: Lahti Basketball 108, Karhu Basket 102. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Lahti Basketball 1.80, Karhu Basket 1.90.
- Oct 17: Karhu Basket 91, Helsinki Seagulls 76. Won. Odds: Karhu Basket 1.62, Helsinki Seagulls 1.83.
- Oct 10: Kipina 98, Karhu Basket 95. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Kipina 2.01, Karhu Basket 1.75.
- Oct 6: Karhu Basket 72, Bisons Loimaa 73. Lost. Odds: Karhu Basket 1.26, Bisons Loimaa 3.58.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Kataja coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Karhu Basket dropped from 2.25 to 1.88 since they were first published.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Kataja.
- Over/under moved up from 164.5 to 166.5 since it was first published.
- 156.8 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 166.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| KAT moneyline | 1.55 | moved up 1.82 |
| KAR moneyline | 2.25 | moved down 1.88 |
| Total points | 164.5 | moved up 166.5 |
| KAT spread | −3.5 | moved up −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Korisliiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 760 | 667 | +93 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 778 | 701 | +77 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 824 | 786 | +38 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 696 | 633 | +63 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 630 | 657 | −27 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 694 | 697 | −3 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 644 | 689 | −45 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 690 | 692 | −2 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 668 | 682 | −14 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 692 | 726 | −34 | |
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 585 | 684 | −99 | |
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 702 | 749 | −47 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation - I Divisioona A
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Kataja host Karhu Basket in the Korisliiga on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.