Kataja vs Honka prediction
Kataja
29
20
20
30
Honka
22
30
28
28
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Kataja9994Honka10888Kataja9994Honka10888Total 182 Margin KAT by 6 Win KAT 66% Actual 207 · HON won
Kataja
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Honka
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Kataja vs Honka
Kataja
Honka
Last 9 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Kataja at home, last 4 games · Honka away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Kataja 0, Honka 2.
- Average total 169.5 points per meeting
- Over 178.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting HON by 5 Jan 10, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 10, 2026 Korisliiga Kataja 74–79 Honka 153 pts
- Nov 4, 2025 Korisliiga Honka 98–88 Kataja 186 pts
Last five games
Kataja
3-2 - Oct 7: Lahti Basketball 91, Kataja 85. Lost. Odds: Lahti Basketball 2.40, Kataja 1.48.
- Oct 3: Bisons Loimaa 71, Kataja 86. Won. Odds: Bisons Loimaa 2.39, Kataja 1.53.
- Sep 29: Kataja 102, Helsinki Seagulls 83. Won. Odds: Kataja 1.99, Helsinki Seagulls 1.77.
- Sep 19: Lahti Basketball 73, Kataja 77. Won. Odds: Lahti Basketball 1.36, Kataja 2.97.
- Sep 9: Kataja 85, Helsinki Seagulls 93. Lost. No odds on record.
Honka
3-2 - Oct 6: Honka 97, Pyrinto Tampere 96. After overtime. Won. Odds: Honka 1.25, Pyrinto Tampere 3.62.
- Oct 3: Honka 99, Kouvot Kouvola 91. Won. Odds: Honka 1.24, Kouvot Kouvola 3.75.
- Sep 29: Salon Vilpas 104, Honka 107. Won. Odds: Salon Vilpas 1.08, Honka 6.69.
- Sep 16: Honka 84, Kouvot Kouvola 96. Lost. Odds: Honka 1.41, Kouvot Kouvola 2.76.
- Sep 12: UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 93, Honka 70. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Honka coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Honka dropped from 3.50 to 2.82 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 175.5 to 178.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 6.1 — Kataja −4.7 per 100 possessions, Honka +1.4.
- 8th vs 3rd in the Korisliiga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| KAT moneyline | 1.27 | moved down 1.24 |
| HON moneyline | 3.50 | moved down 2.82 |
| Total points | 175.5 | moved up 178.5 |
| KAT spread | −7.5 | −7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Korisliiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KTP Kotka Basket |
8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 760 | 667 | +93 |
| 2 |  Kipina |
8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 778 | 701 | +77 |
| 3 | Honka |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 824 | 786 | +38 |
| 4 |  Salon Vilpas |
8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 696 | 633 | +63 |
| 5 |  Helsinki Seagulls |
8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 630 | 657 | −27 |
| 6 |  Pyrinto Tampere |
8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 694 | 697 | −3 |
| 7 |  Lahti Basketball |
8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 644 | 689 | −45 |
| 8 | Kataja |
8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 690 | 692 | −2 |
| 9 |  Karhu Basket |
8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 668 | 682 | −14 |
| 10 |  Kouvot Kouvola |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 692 | 726 | −34 |
| 11 |  Bisons Loimaa |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 585 | 684 | −99 |
| 12 |  UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 702 | 749 | −47 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation - I Divisioona A
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Kataja host Honka in the Korisliiga on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.