Kataja vs Helsinki Seagulls prediction
Kataja
25
31
23
23
Helsinki Seagulls
26
24
16
17
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Kataja10280Helsinki Seagulls8373Kataja10280Helsinki Seagulls8373Total 153 Margin KAT by 7 Win KAT 66% Actual 185 · KAT won
Kataja
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Helsinki Seagulls
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Kataja vs Helsinki Seagulls
Kataja
Helsinki Seagulls
Last 9 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Kataja at home, last 4 games · Helsinki Seagulls away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Kataja 3, Helsinki Seagulls 2.
- Average total 157.2 points per meeting
- Over 166.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting HEL by 8 Sep 9, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 9, 2026 Suomen Cup Kataja 85–93 Helsinki Seagulls 178 pts
- Apr 28, 2026 Korisliiga Helsinki Seagulls 58–65 Kataja 123 pts
- Apr 26, 2026 Korisliiga Kataja 71–74 Helsinki Seagulls 145 pts
- Apr 24, 2026 Korisliiga Helsinki Seagulls 64–69 Kataja 133 pts
- Apr 21, 2026 Korisliiga Kataja 107–100 Helsinki Seagulls 207 pts
Last five games
Kataja
2-3 - Sep 19: Lahti Basketball 73, Kataja 77. Won. Odds: Lahti Basketball 1.36, Kataja 2.97.
- Sep 9: Kataja 85, Helsinki Seagulls 93. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 19: Salon Vilpas 100, Kataja 69. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 16: Kataja 75, Salon Vilpas 59. Won. No odds on record.
- May 14: Salon Vilpas 90, Kataja 81. Lost. No odds on record.
Helsinki Seagulls
3-2 - Sep 15: Helsinki Seagulls 85, Lahti Basketball 80. Won. Odds: Helsinki Seagulls 1.15, Lahti Basketball 4.40.
- Sep 9: Kataja 85, Helsinki Seagulls 93. Won. No odds on record.
- May 1: UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 97, Helsinki Seagulls 77. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 28: Helsinki Seagulls 58, Kataja 65. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Kataja 71, Helsinki Seagulls 74. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Helsinki Seagulls dropped from 3.20 to 1.77 since they were first published.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Kataja.
- −12.5 points away — Helsinki Seagulls averaged 85.0 at home and 72.5 away this season.
- 157.2 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 166.5.
- 8th vs 5th in the Korisliiga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| KAT moneyline | 1.30 | moved up 1.99 |
| HEL moneyline | 3.20 | moved down 1.77 |
| Total points | 165.5 | moved up 166.5 |
| KAT spread · regulation | −4.5 | moved up −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Korisliiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KTP Kotka Basket |
8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 760 | 667 | +93 |
| 2 |  Kipina |
8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 778 | 701 | +77 |
| 3 |  Honka |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 824 | 786 | +38 |
| 4 |  Salon Vilpas |
8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 696 | 633 | +63 |
| 5 | Helsinki Seagulls |
8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 630 | 657 | −27 |
| 6 |  Pyrinto Tampere |
8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 694 | 697 | −3 |
| 7 |  Lahti Basketball |
8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 644 | 689 | −45 |
| 8 | Kataja |
8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 690 | 692 | −2 |
| 9 |  Karhu Basket |
8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 668 | 682 | −14 |
| 10 |  Kouvot Kouvola |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 692 | 726 | −34 |
| 11 |  Bisons Loimaa |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 585 | 684 | −99 |
| 12 |  UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki |
8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 702 | 749 | −47 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation - I Divisioona A
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Kataja host Helsinki Seagulls in the Korisliiga on Tuesday, September 29, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.