Karkkila vs ToPo Helsinki prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 167 Margin KAR by 7 Win KAR 70% Actual 166 · KAR won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Karkkila vs ToPo Helsinki
Last 29 and 28 games with full stats · all competitions
Karkkila at home, last 16 games · ToPo Helsinki away, last 14
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Karkkila 2, ToPo Helsinki 0.
- Average total 172.0 points per meeting
- Over 165.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting KAR by 3 Mar 8, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 8, 2026 I Divisioona A Karkkila 83–80 ToPo Helsinki 163 pts
- Dec 12, 2025 I Divisioona A ToPo Helsinki 84–97 Karkkila 181 pts
Last five games
- Oct 25: ACO Basket 79, Karkkila 67. Lost. Odds: ACO Basket 1.20, Karkkila 3.50.
- Oct 18: Karkkila 95, Pyrinto Akatemia 52. Won. Odds: Karkkila 1.01, Pyrinto Akatemia 8.25.
- Oct 8: Lappeenranta 71, Karkkila 81. Won. Odds: Lappeenranta 5.90, Karkkila 1.09.
- Apr 15: Kipina 102, Karkkila 91. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 12: Karkkila 96, Kipina 95. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 23: ToPo Helsinki 90, Raholan Pyrkiva 92. Lost. Odds: ToPo Helsinki 1.13, Raholan Pyrkiva 5.50.
- Oct 18: Helsingin NMKY 76, ToPo Helsinki 96. Won. Odds: Helsingin NMKY 2.50, ToPo Helsinki 1.40.
- Oct 9: ToPo Helsinki 74, HBA-Marsky Helsinki 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 29: ToPo Helsinki 72, Kipina 94. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 25: Kipina 105, ToPo Helsinki 88. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Net rating difference of 10.3 — Karkkila +8.3 per 100 possessions, ToPo Helsinki −2.0.
- 1-4 in the last five for ToPo Helsinki.
- 3rd vs 9th in the I Divisioona A standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| KAR moneyline | 1.17 | moved up 1.18 |
| TOP moneyline | 4.75 | moved down 4.50 |
| Total points | 166.5 | moved down 165.5 |
| KAR spread | −10.5 | −10.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
I Divisioona A standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 338 | 257 | +81 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | 246 | 186 | +60 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 327 | 284 | +43 | |
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 314 | 313 | +1 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 328 | 311 | +17 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 338 | 333 | +5 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 328 | 354 | −26 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 275 | 323 | −48 | |
| 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 342 | 334 | +8 | |
| 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 319 | 362 | −43 | |
| 11 | Pyrinto Akatemia | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 278 | 336 | −58 |
| 12 | 3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 218 | 258 | −40 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Karkkila host ToPo Helsinki in the I Divisioona A on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.