Karhu Basket vs KTP Kotka Basket prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 164 Margin KAR by 6 Win KAR 66% Actual 162 · KKB won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Karhu Basket vs KTP Kotka Basket
Last 10 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Karhu Basket at home, last 5 games · KTP Kotka Basket away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Karhu Basket 2, KTP Kotka Basket 3.
- Average total 163.0 points per meeting
- Over 165.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting KKB by 7 Sep 9, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 9, 2026 Suomen Cup Karhu Basket 88–95 KTP Kotka Basket 183 pts
- Feb 21, 2026 Korisliiga Karhu Basket 61–86 KTP Kotka Basket 147 pts
- Jan 30, 2026 Korisliiga KTP Kotka Basket 81–88 Karhu Basket 169 pts
- Jan 3, 2026 Korisliiga Karhu Basket 79–74 KTP Kotka Basket 153 pts
- Oct 31, 2025 Korisliiga KTP Kotka Basket 86–77 Karhu Basket 163 pts
Last five games
- Sep 30: Kouvot Kouvola 74, Karhu Basket 77. Won. Odds: Kouvot Kouvola 2.07, Karhu Basket 1.70.
- Sep 23: Kipina 84, Karhu Basket 92. Won. Odds: Kipina 1.90, Karhu Basket 1.75.
- Sep 9: Karhu Basket 88, KTP Kotka Basket 95. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 2: Kataja 92, Karhu Basket 71. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 30: Karhu Basket 78, Kataja 94. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 29: KTP Kotka Basket 87, Bisons Loimaa 64. Won. Odds: KTP Kotka Basket 1.19, Bisons Loimaa 4.32.
- Sep 16: KTP Kotka Basket 86, Kipina 78. Won. Odds: KTP Kotka Basket 1.06, Kipina 7.54.
- Sep 9: Karhu Basket 88, KTP Kotka Basket 95. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 9: KTP Kotka Basket 70, Helsinki Seagulls 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 7: Helsinki Seagulls 89, KTP Kotka Basket 79. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for KTP Kotka Basket coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 15.0 — Karhu Basket −2.3 per 100 possessions, KTP Kotka Basket +12.7.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for KTP Kotka Basket.
- 163.0 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 165.5.
- 9th vs 1st in the Korisliiga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| KAR moneyline | 2.35 | moved down 2.15 |
| KKB moneyline | 1.54 | moved up 1.62 |
| Total points | 165.5 | 165.5 |
| KAR spread | +3.5 | +3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Korisliiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 760 | 667 | +93 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 778 | 701 | +77 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 824 | 786 | +38 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 696 | 633 | +63 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 630 | 657 | −27 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 694 | 697 | −3 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 644 | 689 | −45 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 690 | 692 | −2 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 668 | 682 | −14 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 692 | 726 | −34 | |
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 585 | 684 | −99 | |
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 702 | 749 | −47 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation - I Divisioona A
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Karhu Basket host KTP Kotka Basket in the Korisliiga on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.