Juventus vs Gargzdai prediction

All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 175 Margin GAR by 7 Win GAR 71% Actual 190 · JUV won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Juventus vs Gargzdai
Last 10 games each with full stats · all competitions
Juventus at home, last 5 games · Gargzdai away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Juventus 2, Gargzdai 3.
- Average total 176.4 points per meeting
- Over 174.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting GAR by 5 Apr 18, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 18, 2026 LKL Juventus 98–103 OT Gargzdai 201 pts · OT
- Mar 21, 2026 LKL Gargzdai 89–82 Juventus 171 pts
- Dec 27, 2025 LKL Juventus 104–78 Gargzdai 182 pts
- Nov 12, 2025 King Mindaugas Cup Juventus 90–73 Gargzdai 163 pts
- Oct 18, 2025 LKL Gargzdai 91–74 Juventus 165 pts
Last five games
- Oct 11: Siauliai 83, Juventus 71. Lost. Odds: Siauliai 1.76, Juventus 1.91.
- Oct 7: Juventus 69, Unicaja 105. Lost. Odds: Juventus 3.75, Unicaja 1.25.
- Oct 4: Juventus 93, Taurage 77. Won. Odds: Juventus 1.29, Taurage 2.97.
- Sep 27: Juventus 94, Nevezis 77. Won. Odds: Juventus 1.28, Nevezis 3.25.
- Sep 23: Neptunas 99, Juventus 84. Lost. Odds: Neptunas 1.57, Juventus 2.20.
- Oct 14: Nevezis 86, Gargzdai 101. Won. Odds: Nevezis 2.26, Gargzdai 1.51.
- Oct 11: Taurage 82, Gargzdai 102. Won. Odds: Taurage 1.52, Gargzdai 2.24.
- Oct 6: Gargzdai 79, Jurbarkas 75. Won. Odds: Gargzdai 1.06, Jurbarkas 6.55.
- Oct 3: Rytas 102, Gargzdai 105. Won. Odds: Rytas 1.11, Gargzdai 5.01.
- Sep 26: Gargzdai 87, Neptunas 78. Won. Odds: Gargzdai 2.19, Neptunas 1.55.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 6-game winning streak for Gargzdai coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Juventus, 3 for Gargzdai.
- Net rating difference of 13.1 — Juventus −7.8 per 100 possessions, Gargzdai +5.3.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Gargzdai.
- 176.4 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 174.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| JUV moneyline | 1.36 | moved up 1.42 |
| GAR moneyline | 2.69 | moved down 2.45 |
| Total points | 173.5 | moved up 174.5 |
| JUV spread | −5.5 | moved up −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 651 | 511 | +140 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 456 | 417 | +39 | |
| 3 | Gargzdai | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 634 | 619 | +15 |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 631 | 649 | −18 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 685 | 682 | +3 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 549 | 556 | −7 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 682 | 698 | −16 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 666 | 698 | −32 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 651 | 702 | −51 | |
| 10 | 6 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 428 | 501 | −73 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Juventus host Gargzdai in the LKL on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.
