Jurbarkas vs Alytaus Patriotai Prediction & Odds

NKL Thursday, October 1, 2026Thu, Oct 1 Start12:00ET

JurbarkasHome · 8-1 · 2nd · 1.16

9626192922

Alytaus PatriotaiAway · 5-5 · 9th · 4.40

6810181822

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Jurbarkas 26 19 29 22

Alytaus Patriotai 10 18 18 22

FT Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall · LithuaniaJurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.12 56%

Jurbarkas to win edge −22.5%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.12 Jurbarkas to win Confidence56% model 59.2% · market 81.7% edge −22.5%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 53%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.12 59.2% 81.7% −22.5% 56% Won

Total points O166.5 1.80 51.5% 51.5% 0.0% 51% Lost

Point spread ALY +12.5 1.83 46.2% 50.0% −3.8% 51% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Jurbarkas9690

Alytaus Patriotai6883

Total 173 actual 164

Winning margin JUR by 7 actual JUR by 28

Chance to win JUR 69% JUR won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Jurbarkas9690

Alytaus Patriotai6883

Total 173 Margin JUR by 7 Win JUR 69% Actual 164 · JUR won

Last five games

Jurbarkas 2-3

Apr 7: Jurbarkas 64, Suduva-Mantinga 106. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 3: Suduva-Mantinga 94, Jurbarkas 82. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 1: Jurbarkas 105, Suduva-Mantinga 98. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
Mar 28: Suduva-Mantinga 101, Jurbarkas 64. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 23: Jurbarkas 85, Mazeikiai 72. Won. No odds on record.

Alytaus Patriotai 0-1

Sep 28: Alytaus Patriotai 83, Zalgiris Kaunas 2 108. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
JUR moneyline	1.12	moved up 1.16
ALY moneyline	5.00	moved down 4.40
Total points · regulation	166.5	166.5
JUR spread · regulation	−12.5	−12.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

NKL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Telsiai	10	10	0	20	882	725	+157
2	Jurbarkas	9	8	1	17	793	667	+126
3	BC Olimpas Palanga	10	8	2	18	930	806	+124
4	Neptunas 2	9	6	3	15	693	668	+25
5	Omega-Tauras	10	6	4	16	870	824	+46
6	Silute	8	6	2	14	667	619	+48
7	Plunges Olimpas	10	6	4	16	814	781	+33
8	Suduva-Mantinga	8	6	2	14	752	627	+125
9	Alytaus Patriotai	10	5	5	15	861	882	−21
10	Vytis VDU	7	4	3	11	658	648	+10
11	Zalgiris Kaunas 2	10	4	6	14	957	971	−14
12	Kedainiai BC	10	4	6	14	768	838	−70
13	Vilkaviskis	9	4	5	13	733	762	−29
14	Ukmerges Stekas	9	3	6	12	737	817	−80
15	Kretinga	10	2	8	12	797	881	−84
16	Mazeikiai	10	2	8	12	765	865	−100
17	Rytas 2	10	0	10	10	751	873	−122
18	Kauno Atletas	9	0	9	9	696	870	−174

Winners stage
Losers stage

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Jurbarkas host Alytaus Patriotai in the NKL on Thursday, October 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

Jurbarkas vs Alytaus Patriotai prediction

All predictions