Jonava vs Nevezis prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 176 Margin JON by 8 Win JON 75% Actual 150 · JON won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Jonava vs Nevezis
Last 9 games each with full stats · all competitions
Jonava at home, last 5 games · Nevezis away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Jonava 2, Nevezis 3.
- Average total 175.0 points per meeting
- Over 175.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting JON by 1 Apr 18, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 18, 2026 LKL Jonava 90–89 Nevezis 179 pts
- Feb 14, 2026 LKL Nevezis 88–85 OT Jonava 173 pts · OT
- Dec 14, 2025 LKL Nevezis 83–85 Jonava 168 pts
- Nov 6, 2025 King Mindaugas Cup Nevezis 92–74 Jonava 166 pts
- Oct 23, 2025 King Mindaugas Cup Jonava 88–101 Nevezis 189 pts
Last five games
- Sep 19: Taurage 95, Jonava 90. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Taurage 1.44, Jonava 2.42.
- May 22: Jonava 75, Zalgiris Kaunas 90. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 20: Zalgiris Kaunas 102, Jonava 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 17: Neptunas 95, Jonava 89. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 12: Jonava 90, Juventus 95. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 17: Zalgiris Kaunas 98, Nevezis 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 13: Nevezis 88, Rytas 117. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 9: Nevezis 95, Juventus 98. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 3: Siauliai 95, Nevezis 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Nevezis 85, Gargzdai 90. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 8-game losing streak for Nevezis coming into this game.
- 5-game losing streak for Jonava coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Jonava dropped from 1.86 to 1.57 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 8.6 — Jonava −0.3 per 100 possessions, Nevezis −8.9.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Nevezis.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| JON moneyline | 1.86 | moved down 1.57 |
| NEV moneyline | 1.88 | moved up 2.20 |
| Total points | 175.5 | 175.5 |
| JON spread · regulation | −1.5 | moved down −3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 651 | 511 | +140 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 456 | 417 | +39 | |
| 3 | Gargzdai | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 634 | 619 | +15 |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 631 | 649 | −18 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 685 | 682 | +3 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 549 | 556 | −7 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 682 | 698 | −16 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 666 | 698 | −32 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 651 | 702 | −51 | |
| 10 | 6 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 428 | 501 | −73 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Jonava host Nevezis in the LKL on Tuesday, September 22, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.