Jonava vs Neptunas Prediction & Odds

LKL Saturday, October 17, 2026Sat, Oct 17 Start10:00ET

JonavaHome · 3-4 · 6th · 3.10

8324212117

NeptunasAway · 4-4 · 5th · 1.33

8429191719

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Jonava 24 21 21 17

Neptunas 29 19 17 19

FT Jonavos sporto arena · LithuaniaJonavos sporto arena

Best tip of the game

Total points Won

U172.5 1.47 85%

Under 172.5 points edge +9.7%

Best tip of the game Total points · Won U172.5 1.47 Under 172.5 points Confidence85% model 75.7% · market 66.0% edge +9.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 3.10 40.5% 34.8% +5.7% 51% Lost

Total points U172.5 1.47 75.7% 66.0% +9.7% 85% Won

Point spread JON +12.5 1.36 82.8% 72.5% +10.3% 85% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Jonava8380

Neptunas8480

Total 160 actual 167

Winning margin — actual NEP by 1

Chance to win JON 51% NEP won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Jonava8380

Neptunas8480

Total 160 Win JON 51% Actual 167 · NEP won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 5+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Jonava large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Neptunas

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Jonava vs Neptunas

Jonava Neptunas

Last 9 and 13 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Jonava 2-3

Oct 10: Lietkabelis 65, Jonava 71. Won. Odds: Lietkabelis 1.20, Jonava 3.70.
Oct 3: Jonava 63, Siauliai 79. Lost. Odds: Jonava 2.22, Siauliai 1.53.
Sep 27: Jonava 71, Tindastoll 79. Lost. Odds: Jonava 1.26, Tindastoll 3.53.
Sep 22: Jonava 85, Nevezis 65. Won. Odds: Jonava 1.57, Nevezis 2.20.
Sep 19: Taurage 95, Jonava 90. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Taurage 1.44, Jonava 2.42.

Neptunas 2-3

Oct 13: Neptunas 93, JL Bourg 89. Won. Odds: Neptunas 2.14, JL Bourg 1.68.
Oct 10: Rytas 86, Neptunas 77. Lost. Odds: Rytas 1.25, Neptunas 3.20.
Oct 7: Chemnitz 93, Neptunas 84. Lost. Odds: Chemnitz 1.62, Neptunas 2.20.
Oct 3: Neptunas 89, Nevezis 62. Won. Odds: Neptunas 1.11, Nevezis 5.08.
Sep 29: Neptunas 73, Trento 76. Lost. Odds: Neptunas 1.96, Trento 1.81.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
JON moneyline	2.77	moved up 3.10
NEP moneyline	1.39	moved down 1.33
Total points	166.5	166.5
JON spread	+5.5	moved up +6.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LKL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	7	7	0	1.000	651	511	+140
2	Rytas	5	4	1	.800	456	417	+39
3	Gargzdai	7	5	2	.714	634	619	+15
4	Lietkabelis	8	4	4	.500	631	649	−18
5	Neptunas	8	4	4	.500	685	682	+3
6	Jonava	7	3	4	.429	549	556	−7
7	Juventus	8	3	5	.375	682	698	−16
8	Siauliai	8	3	5	.375	666	698	−32
9	Taurage	8	3	5	.375	651	702	−51
10	Nevezis	6	0	6	.000	428	501	−73

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Jonava host Neptunas in the LKL on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.