Jilin vs Xinjiang prediction

All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 172 Margin XIN by 2 Win XIN 57% Actual 172 · JIL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Jilin vs Xinjiang
Last 7 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Jilin 2, Xinjiang 0.
- Average total 174.5 points per meeting
- Over 181.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting JIL by 7 Mar 13, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 13, 2026 CBA Xinjiang 82–89 Jilin 171 pts
- Dec 20, 2025 CBA Jilin 92–86 Xinjiang 178 pts
Last five games
- Oct 20: Jilin 88, Sichuan 91. Lost. Odds: Jilin 1.14, Sichuan 5.00.
- Oct 18: Jilin 82, Beijing 84. Lost. Odds: Jilin 3.55, Beijing 1.14.
- Apr 24: Beijing 105, Jilin 55. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 20: Ningbo Rockets 84, Jilin 65. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Jilin 75, Guangzhou 93. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 20: Xinjiang 107, Tianjin 92. Won. Odds: Xinjiang 1.06, Tianjin 8.25.
- Oct 17: Xinjiang 82, Qingdao 80. Won. Odds: Xinjiang 2.02, Qingdao 1.50.
- Apr 24: Qingdao 94, Xinjiang 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 19: Xinjiang 109, Nanjing Tongxi 75. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 17: Xinjiang 86, Shanghai 111. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 8-game losing streak for Jilin coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 6.3 — Jilin −0.1 per 100 possessions, Xinjiang −6.4.
- 11th vs 13th in the CBA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| JIL moneyline | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| XIN moneyline | 1.30 | moved up 1.33 |
| Total points | 182.5 | moved down 181.5 |
| JIL spread | +6.5 | moved up +7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
CBA standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 739 | 549 | +190 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 680 | 604 | +76 | |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 676 | 609 | +67 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 694 | 567 | +127 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 707 | 636 | +71 | |
| 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 579 | 519 | +60 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 634 | 671 | −37 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 637 | 661 | −24 | |
| 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 642 | 618 | +24 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 637 | 655 | −18 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 586 | 587 | −1 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 537 | 661 | −124 | |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 602 | 629 | −27 | |
| 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 600 | 611 | −11 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 620 | 637 | −17 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 564 | 669 | −105 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 612 | 681 | −69 | |
| 18 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 649 | 665 | −16 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 557 | 602 | −45 | |
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 545 | 666 | −121 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Jilin host Xinjiang in the CBA on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.
