Jilin vs Shenzhen prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 172 Margin JIL by 18 Win JIL 89% Actual 163 · SHE won
Jilin vs Shenzhen
Last 7 games each with full stats · all competitions
Jilin at home, last 5 games · Shenzhen away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Jilin 0, Shenzhen 2.
- Average total 188.5 points per meeting
- Over 181.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SHE by 25 Mar 29, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 29, 2026 CBA Jilin 86–111 Shenzhen 197 pts
- Dec 16, 2025 CBA Shenzhen 99–81 Jilin 180 pts
Last five games
- Oct 26: Ningbo Rockets 76, Jilin 85. Won. Odds: Ningbo Rockets 2.60, Jilin 1.45.
- Oct 24: Zhejiang Guangsha 81, Jilin 82. Won. Odds: Zhejiang Guangsha 1.13, Jilin 5.50.
- Oct 22: Jilin 89, Xinjiang 83. Won. Odds: Jilin 3.10, Xinjiang 1.33.
- Oct 20: Jilin 88, Sichuan 91. Lost. Odds: Jilin 1.14, Sichuan 5.00.
- Oct 18: Jilin 82, Beijing 84. Lost. Odds: Jilin 3.55, Beijing 1.14.
- Oct 28: Shenzhen 95, Shanxi Zhongyu 83. Won. Odds: Shenzhen 5.75, Shanxi Zhongyu 1.12.
- Oct 25: Shenzhen 70, Beijing Royal Fighters 103. Lost. Odds: Shenzhen 1.41, Beijing Royal Fighters 2.72.
- Oct 22: Beijing 120, Shenzhen 62. Lost. Odds: Beijing 1.02, Shenzhen 10.50.
- Oct 19: Jiangsu Dragons 81, Shenzhen 89. Won. Odds: Jiangsu Dragons 5.00, Shenzhen 1.14.
- Oct 16: Shanghai 102, Shenzhen 68. Lost. Odds: Shanghai 1.13, Shenzhen 5.50.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Jilin coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Jilin dropped from 1.63 to 1.27 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 3 days off for Jilin, 1 for Shenzhen.
- Over/under moved up from 177.5 to 181.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 21.7 — Jilin −0.1 per 100 possessions, Shenzhen −21.8.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| JIL moneyline | 1.63 | moved down 1.27 |
| SHE moneyline | 2.15 | moved up 3.45 |
| Total points | 177.5 | moved up 181.5 |
| JIL spread | −3.5 | moved down −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
CBA standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 739 | 549 | +190 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 680 | 604 | +76 | |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 676 | 609 | +67 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 694 | 567 | +127 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 707 | 636 | +71 | |
| 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 579 | 519 | +60 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 634 | 671 | −37 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 637 | 661 | −24 | |
| 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 642 | 618 | +24 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 637 | 655 | −18 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 586 | 587 | −1 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 537 | 661 | −124 | |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 602 | 629 | −27 | |
| 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 600 | 611 | −11 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 620 | 637 | −17 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 564 | 669 | −105 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 612 | 681 | −69 | |
| 18 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 649 | 665 | −16 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 557 | 602 | −45 | |
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 545 | 666 | −121 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Jilin host Shenzhen in the CBA on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.