Jilin vs Guangzhou prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 177 Margin JIL by 3 Win JIL 60% Actual 169 · GUA won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Jilin vs Guangzhou
Last 7 games each with full stats · all competitions
Jilin at home, last 5 games · Guangzhou away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Jilin 0, Guangzhou 2.
- Average total 164.5 points per meeting
- Over 174.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting GUA by 18 Apr 18, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 18, 2026 CBA Jilin 75–93 Guangzhou 168 pts
- Dec 28, 2025 CBA Guangzhou 87–74 Jilin 161 pts
Last five games
- Oct 30: Jilin 81, Shenzhen 82. Lost. Odds: Jilin 1.27, Shenzhen 3.45.
- Oct 26: Ningbo Rockets 76, Jilin 85. Won. Odds: Ningbo Rockets 2.60, Jilin 1.45.
- Oct 24: Zhejiang Guangsha 81, Jilin 82. Won. Odds: Zhejiang Guangsha 1.13, Jilin 5.50.
- Oct 22: Jilin 89, Xinjiang 83. Won. Odds: Jilin 3.10, Xinjiang 1.33.
- Oct 20: Jilin 88, Sichuan 91. Lost. Odds: Jilin 1.14, Sichuan 5.00.
- Oct 30: Guangzhou 93, Shanxi Zhongyu 113. Lost. Odds: Guangzhou 2.30, Shanxi Zhongyu 1.56.
- Oct 27: Guangzhou 91, Beijing Royal Fighters 90. After overtime. Won. Odds: Guangzhou 2.75, Beijing Royal Fighters 1.40.
- Oct 25: Beijing 117, Guangzhou 73. Lost. Odds: Beijing 1.01, Guangzhou 16.00.
- Oct 23: Tianjin 102, Guangzhou 86. Lost. Odds: Tianjin 2.75, Guangzhou 1.40.
- Oct 20: Nanjing Tongxi 81, Guangzhou 114. Won. Odds: Nanjing Tongxi 1.54, Guangzhou 2.35.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Guangzhou dropped from 1.95 to 1.74 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved down from 178.5 to 174.5 since it was first published.
- 11th vs 8th in the CBA standings.
- Different pace — Jilin averaged 76.4 possessions per game, Guangzhou 84.0.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| JIL moneyline | 1.74 | moved up 1.95 |
| GUA moneyline | 1.95 | moved down 1.74 |
| Total points | 178.5 | moved down 174.5 |
| JIL spread | −1.5 | moved up +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
CBA standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 739 | 549 | +190 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 680 | 604 | +76 | |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 676 | 609 | +67 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 694 | 567 | +127 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 707 | 636 | +71 | |
| 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 579 | 519 | +60 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 634 | 671 | −37 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 637 | 661 | −24 | |
| 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 642 | 618 | +24 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 637 | 655 | −18 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 586 | 587 | −1 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 537 | 661 | −124 | |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 602 | 629 | −27 | |
| 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 600 | 611 | −11 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 620 | 637 | −17 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 564 | 669 | −105 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 612 | 681 | −69 | |
| 18 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 649 | 665 | −16 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 557 | 602 | −45 | |
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 545 | 666 | −121 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Jilin host Guangzhou in the CBA on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.