Jiangsu Dragons vs Shenzhen prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 184 Margin SHE by 6 Win SHE 65% Actual 170 · SHE won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Jiangsu Dragons vs Shenzhen
Last 7 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Jiangsu Dragons 0, Shenzhen 3.
- Average total 176.7 points per meeting
- Over 178.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SHE by 5 Apr 11, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 11, 2026 CBA Shenzhen 93–88 Jiangsu Dragons 181 pts
- Mar 24, 2026 CBA Shenzhen 104–84 Jiangsu Dragons 188 pts
- Feb 1, 2026 CBA Jiangsu Dragons 71–90 Shenzhen 161 pts
Last five games
- Oct 17: Jiangsu Dragons 85, Fujian 89. Lost. Odds: Jiangsu Dragons 1.35, Fujian 2.40.
- Apr 24: Jiangsu Dragons 89, Liaoning 108. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 20: Jiangsu Dragons 101, Sichuan 85. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Jiangsu Dragons 87, Shanxi Zhongyu 86. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 16: Jiangsu Dragons 76, Fujian 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 16: Shanghai 102, Shenzhen 68. Lost. Odds: Shanghai 1.13, Shenzhen 5.50.
- May 23: Shenzhen 88, Zhejiang Guangsha 97. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 21: Shenzhen 91, Zhejiang Guangsha 80. Won. No odds on record.
- May 18: Zhejiang Guangsha 92, Shenzhen 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 16: Zhejiang Guangsha 111, Shenzhen 102. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Shenzhen dropped from 1.26 to 1.14 since they were first published.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Shenzhen.
- Over/under moved down from 183.5 to 178.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 13.9 — Jiangsu Dragons −7.9 per 100 possessions, Shenzhen −21.8.
- 1-4 in the last five for Shenzhen.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| JIA moneyline | 3.50 | moved up 5.00 |
| SHE moneyline | 1.26 | moved down 1.14 |
| Total points | 183.5 | moved down 178.5 |
| JIA spread | +7.5 | moved up +10.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
CBA standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 739 | 549 | +190 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 680 | 604 | +76 | |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 676 | 609 | +67 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 694 | 567 | +127 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 707 | 636 | +71 | |
| 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 579 | 519 | +60 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 634 | 671 | −37 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 637 | 661 | −24 | |
| 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 642 | 618 | +24 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 637 | 655 | −18 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 586 | 587 | −1 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 537 | 661 | −124 | |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 602 | 629 | −27 | |
| 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 600 | 611 | −11 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 620 | 637 | −17 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 564 | 669 | −105 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 612 | 681 | −69 | |
| 18 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 649 | 665 | −16 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 557 | 602 | −45 | |
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 545 | 666 | −121 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Jiangsu Dragons host Shenzhen in the CBA on Monday, October 19, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.