Japan vs Chinese Taipei prediction
Japan
20
19
23
18
Chinese Taipei
11
16
13
12
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 70%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Japan8070Chinese Taipei5263Japan8070Chinese Taipei5263Total 133 Margin JAP by 7 Win JAP 65% Actual 132 · JAP won
Japan vs Chinese Taipei
Japan
Chinese Taipei
Last five games
Japan
4-1 - Sep 24: Japan 86, Thailand 29. Won. Odds: Japan –, Thailand 12.00.
- Sep 22: Japan 89, Philippines 67. Won. Odds: Japan –, Philippines 12.00.
- Sep 20: Kazakhstan 23, Japan 88. Won. Odds: Kazakhstan 12.00, Japan –.
- Sep 17: Japan 114, Hong Kong 37. Won. Odds: Japan –, Hong Kong 17.00.
- Oct 5, 2023: China 74, Japan 72. Lost. No odds on record.
Chinese Taipei
3-2 - Sep 24: Chinese Taipei 83, Philippines 71. Won. Odds: Chinese Taipei 1.47, Philippines 2.55.
- Sep 22: South Korea 73, Chinese Taipei 59. Lost. Odds: South Korea –, Chinese Taipei 12.00.
- Sep 21: Malaysia 59, Chinese Taipei 98. Won. Odds: Malaysia 12.00, Chinese Taipei –.
- Sep 18: Chinese Taipei 76, Mongolia 67. Won. Odds: Chinese Taipei 1.05, Mongolia 7.80.
- Oct 2, 2023: China 104, Chinese Taipei 60. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Japan and Chinese Taipei played yesterday.
- 4-game winning streak for Japan coming into this game.
- 4-1 at home for Japan this season.
- Over/under moved up from 147.5 to 149.5 since it was first published.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| JAP moneyline | 1.04 | moved down 1.01 |
| CHI moneyline | 9.48 | moved up 10.50 |
| Total points | 147.5 | moved up 149.5 |
| JAP spread · regulation | −24.5 | moved up −22.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Asian Games Women standings
Regular Season · Group B
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan |
3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 291 | 127 | +164 |
| 2 |  Philippines |
3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 243 | 220 | +23 |
| 3 |  Kazakhstan |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 161 | 251 | −90 |
| 4 |  Hong Kong |
3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 187 | 284 | −97 |
Regular Season · Group C
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Korea |
3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 267 | 160 | +107 |
| 2 | Chinese Taipei |
3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 233 | 199 | +34 |
| 3 |  Mongolia |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 217 | 245 | −28 |
| 4 |  Malaysia |
3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 180 | 293 | −113 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Ranking of third-placed teams
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Japan host Chinese Taipei in the Asian Games Women on Friday, September 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.