Iran vs Bahrain prediction
Iran
21
22
17
19
Bahrain
17
17
21
19
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 50%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Iran7981Bahrain7473Iran7981Bahrain7473Total 154 Margin IRA by 8 Win IRA 66% Actual 153 · IRA won
Iran vs Bahrain
Iran
Bahrain
Last five games
Iran
2-1 - Sep 12: Iran 81, Jordan 68. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 11: Chinese Taipei 69, Iran 72. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 9: Iran 53, Qatar 59. Lost. No odds on record.
Bahrain
2-1 - Sep 13: Bahrain 101, Kazakhstan 78. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 12: Bahrain 59, China 105. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 11: Philippines 85, Bahrain 89. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Iran dropped from 1.72 to 1.37 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 149.5 to 151.5 since it was first published.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| IRA moneyline | 1.72 | moved down 1.37 |
| BAH moneyline | 2.02 | moved up 2.85 |
| Total points | 149.5 | moved up 151.5 |
| IRA spread | −1 | moved down −3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Asian Games standings
Regular Season · Group B
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chinese Taipei |
3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 243 | 221 | +22 |
| 2 | Iran |
3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 206 | 196 | +10 |
| 3 |  Jordan |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 224 | 229 | −5 |
| 4 |  Qatar |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 193 | 220 | −27 |
Regular Season · Group C
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  China |
3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 309 | 181 | +128 |
| 2 | Bahrain |
3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 249 | 268 | −19 |
| 3 |  Philippines |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 255 | 272 | −17 |
| 4 |  Kazakhstan |
3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 217 | 309 | −92 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Ranking of third-placed teams
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Iran host Bahrain in the Asian Games on Wednesday, September 16, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.