IR Reykjavik vs Alftanes prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 187 Margin ALF by 1 Win ALF 51% Actual 207 · ALF won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
IR Reykjavik vs Alftanes
Last 27 and 24 games with full stats · all competitions
IR Reykjavik at home, last 13 games · Alftanes away, last 11
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: IR Reykjavik 2, Alftanes 0.
- Average total 182.5 points per meeting
- Over 187.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting REY by 4 Mar 12, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 12, 2026 Premier league Alftanes 89–93 IR Reykjavik 182 pts
- Dec 5, 2025 Premier league IR Reykjavik 97–86 Alftanes 183 pts
Last five games
- Oct 8: Sindri 91, IR Reykjavik 97. Won. Odds: Sindri 1.53, IR Reykjavik 2.32.
- Apr 11: Tindastoll 125, IR Reykjavik 87. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 7: IR Reykjavik 90, Tindastoll 98. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 2: Tindastoll 108, IR Reykjavik 99. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 26: Valur 82, IR Reykjavik 93. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 8: Alftanes 114, Hottur 77. Won. Odds: Alftanes 1.04, Hottur 8.25.
- Mar 26: Alftanes 124, Stjarnan 115. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 21: Tindastoll 115, Alftanes 104. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 12: Alftanes 89, IR Reykjavik 93. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 6: Alftanes 96, Keflavik 106. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Alftanes dropped from 1.75 to 1.14 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 185.5 to 187.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 9.7 — IR Reykjavik −4.4 per 100 possessions, Alftanes +5.3.
- 9th vs 1st in the Premier league standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| REY moneyline | 1.95 | moved up 5.00 |
| ALF moneyline | 1.75 | moved down 1.14 |
| Total points | 185.5 | moved up 187.5 |
| REY spread | +3.5 | moved up +11.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Premier league standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 468 | 380 | +88 | |
| 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 390 | 329 | +61 | |
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 351 | 320 | +31 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 377 | 342 | +35 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 436 | 409 | +27 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 356 | 367 | −11 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 387 | 417 | −30 | |
| 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 369 | 387 | −18 | |
| 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 377 | 420 | −43 | |
| 10 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 338 | 366 | −28 | |
| 11 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 354 | 388 | −34 | |
| 12 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 334 | 412 | −78 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
IR Reykjavik host Alftanes in the Premier league on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.